Match Info

2. Liga - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Planet Pure Stadion (Lustenau)

Referee: Sampl S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Austria Lustenau		Austria Wien II

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.78	3.75	3.95
	1.63	4.26	4.77
	1.14	5.78	30.00	Watch
	1.79	3.72	4.09	Watch
	1.76	3.65	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.62)	4.13 ↓ (4.16)	8.45 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Lustenau
62.8%

Draw
25%

Austria Wien II
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

22.3%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

24%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austria Lustenau's performance.

Austria Wien II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austria Wien II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Wien II than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austria Wien II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Austria Lustenau - Austria Wien II Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Austria Wien II (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Austria Lustenau will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Austria Wien II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Schierl D. (G) 7. Gmeiner F. 3. William Rodrigues 26. Ibertsberger L. 6. Wade M. 23. Grabher P. (C) 18. Voisine R. 22. Bouchenna M. 19. Delaye S. 24. Diarra S. 99. Lahne J.	1. Jusic K. (G) 21. Fischer F. 8. Abdi O. 24. Wojnar N. (C) 12. Sawicki M. 20. Morth R. 19. Lukic F. 27. Nnodim D. 23. Aleksa K. 77. Osterreicher M. 26. Zdichynec N.
Substitutes
30. Bohm P. (G) 9. Jastremski L. 20. Koc E. 31. Maak M. 10. Ouattara I. 21. Rouquette A. 12. Vucenovic M.	13. Blazevic S. (G) 70. Ewemade D. 22. Holler J. 15. Jankovic F. 17. Roider J. 28. Stoger M. 3. Toifl V.
Coaches
Mader M.	Uhlig M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Diarra S. ⚽, Gmeiner F. (A),
8', 2 - 0, Diarra S. ⚽, Gmeiner F. (A),
23', 3 - 0, Lahne J. ⚽, William Rodrigues (A),
26', Grabher P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Wade M. ↓, Jastremski L. ↑,
53', Aleksa K. 🟨,
57', Ibertsberger L. ↓, Rouquette A. ↑,
57', William Rodrigues ↓, Maak M. ↑,
60', Fischer F. ↓, Roider J. ↑,
60', Osterreicher M. ↓, Ewemade D. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Aleksa K. ⚽, Morth R. (A),
73', Grabher P. ↓, Koc E. ↑,
76', Sawicki M. ↓, Toifl V. ↑,
76', Nnodim D. ↓, Stoger M. ↑,
79', Wojnar N. 🟨,
82', 3 - 2, Stoger M. ⚽, Morth R. (A),
84', Bouchenna M. 🟨,
84', Lahne J. ↓, Vucenovic M. ↑,
90+3', Delaye S. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austria Lustenau won 2.

Austria Lustenau has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Austria Wien II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Austria Lustenau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Austria Lustenau is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Austria Lustenau won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 2.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Austria Lustenau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 2.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria Lustenau
Austrian 2 Liga
26.09.25	Admira - Austria Lustenau	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Austria Lustenau - Floridsdorfer AC	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Austria Lustenau - Sturm Graz B	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	First Vienna - Austria Lustenau	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.08.25	Austria Lustenau - Kapfenberger SV	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTWTL
- Austria Wien II
Austrian 2 Liga
27.09.25	Austria Wien II - Amstetten	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Sturm Graz B - Austria Wien II	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Austria Wien II - First Vienna	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	SPG Wels - Austria Wien II	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Rapid Wien II - Austria Wien II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
22.05.22	Austria Lustenau - Austria Wien II	4:0
19.11.21	Austria Wien II - Austria Lustenau	1:4
05.04.21	Austria Lustenau - Austria Wien II	0:3
23.10.20	Austria Wien II - Austria Lustenau	1:1
07.03.20	Austria Lustenau - Austria Wien II	2:3
09.08.19	Austria Wien II - Austria Lustenau	0:2
10.05.19	Austria Wien II - Austria Lustenau	2:5

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