The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Austria Wien 34.2%
Draw 27.1%
Lech Poznań 38.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36%
27.8%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
27.5%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austria Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28%
20%
52%
Austria Wien - Lech Poznań Predictions
Users Predictions:
50 users predict this event. Austria will win (votes: 14 - 28%). Lech will win (votes: 26 - 52%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 38.2% – 65.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Austria has currently - 1, has not chance of 1st, has a small chance of 2nd (8%), has a chance of 3rd (24%), has a small chance of knockout phase (8%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (3%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Lech has currently - 5, has not chance of 1st, has a good chance of 2nd (74%), has a chance of 3rd (25%), has a good chance of knockout phase (74%), has a chance of round of 16 (31%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality47, big importance73, match rating60. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Austria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Lech is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lech could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Austria: El Sheiwi Z.
(Injury)
Handl J.
(Injury)
Raguz M.
(Injury)
Wustinger F.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Lech: Douglas B.
(Injury)
Salamon B.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Austria: Muhl L.
(Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Austria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.
Australia
Finland
Norway
Poland
Sweden
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