Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 23

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Ressacada (Florianópolis)

Referee: Batista E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Avaí		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	5.75	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.8
	1.65	3.55	5.3
	1.66	3.72	5.92
	1.71	3.38	5.26	Watch
	1.7	3.4	5
	1.66	3.68	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 (1.67)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	5.34 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
56.1%

Draw
26.4%

Amazonas
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

26.8%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.9%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Avaí - Amazonas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Amazonas will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Avaí will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cesar Augusto (G) 63. Marcos Vinicius 95. Jonathan Costa 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 36. DG 77. Ze Ricardo 8. Joao Vitor 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 94. Emerson Negueba 7. Hygor 11. Alef Manga	1. Joao Lopes (G) 30. Castrillon N. 14. Ivan Alvarino 3. Leo Coelho 6. Fabiano (C) 5. Vasquez L. 17. Guilherme Xavier 10. Rafael Tavares 19. Henrique Almeida 9. Luan Silva 26. Dener
Substitutes
3. Anderson Jesus 20. Gaspar 30. Guilherme Santos 1. Igor Bohn (G) 16. Jamerson 32. Leo Reis 33. Mario Sergio 2. Railan 37. Rigley 5. Romildo Del Piage 41. Thayllon 34. Wanderson	15. Akapo C. 57. Diego Borges 35. Digao 21. Erick Varao 91. Gabriel Novaes 4. Iverton 27. Linares N. 33. Pedro Caracoci (G) 55. Philippe Guimaraes 29. Torres D. 8. Vitao 20. William Barbio
Coaches
Jair Ventura	Marcio Zanardi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Castrillon N. ↓, Akapo C. ↑,
17', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
21', Akapo C. 🟨,
45+2', Dener 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Railan ↑,
46', Dener ↓, Torres D. ↑,
46', Torres D. 🟨,
51', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
53', Joao Lopes 🟨,
54', Railan 🟨,
55', 0 - 1, Rafael Tavares ⚽,
64', Luan Silva ↓, Diego Borges ↑,
66', Ze Ricardo ↓, Romildo Del Piage ↑,
67', Hygor ↓, Rigley ↑,
73', Rafael Tavares ↓, Linares N. ↑,
73', Guilherme Xavier ↓, Erick Varao ↑,
77', Emerson Negueba ↓, Thayllon ↑,
77', Alef Manga ↓, Guilherme Santos ↑,
78', Henrique Almeida 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Thayllon ⚽, Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
90+7', 1 - 2, Henrique Almeida ⚽,
90+9', Ivan Alvarino 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Amazonas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Avaí is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Avaí: Cleber (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson (Inactive) Dener (Inactive) Fernando Neto (Inactive) Gabriel Domingos (Inactive) Ramirez K. (Yellow Cards) Robertinho (Inactive)

There are questionable in Avaí: Gaspar (Inactive) JP (Inactive) Mario Sergio (Inactive) Quaresma (Injury)

There are questionable in Amazonas: Thomas Luciano (Inactive) Torres J. (Injury) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Avaí won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
19.08.25	Operário Ferroviario - Avaí	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Avaí - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí	1:1 ✺
28.07.25	Avaí - Botafogo SP	5:0 ✺
24.07.25	Remo - Avaí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWTWL
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
15.08.25	Amazonas - América Mineiro	2:2 ✺
08.08.25	Ferroviária - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Amazonas - Goiás	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Coritiba - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
23.07.25	Amazonas - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.04.25	Amazonas - Avaí	0:2
18.10.24	Amazonas - Avaí	2:1
30.06.24	Avaí - Amazonas	1:1

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