Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 4

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada) (Florianópolis)


	Avaí		Caxias

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.45	2.97	3
	2.19	3.23	3.13	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.88
	2.33	2.94	3.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.56)	3.01 ↑ (2.82)	3.01 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
39.4%

Draw
30.3%

Caxias
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

31.9%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

33.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+1%)

Avaí - Caxias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Igor Bohn (G) 9. Avenatti F. 30. Cristiano 15. Guilherme Aquino 16. Jamerson 38. Jefferson Maciel 66. Quaresma 5. Romildo Del Piage 11. Sorriso 52. Wesley Gasolina 77. Ze Ricardo (C)	1. Busatto G. (G) 5. Breno Santos 9. Felipe Rangel 3. Ianson 19. Jhonatan Ribeiro 10. Joao Lucas 14. Mancha 8. Marcelo Freitas (C) 6. Victor Sa 11. Vitor Feijao 2. Vitor Gabriel
Substitutes
3. Allyson 6. Cabral N. 36. DG 4. Gabriel Simples 18. Hyan 20. Isaias 10. Jean Lucas 50. Joao Maistro 21. Otavio Passos (G) 25. Paulo Vitor 43. Thayllon 57. Walace Franca	7. Calyson 20. Felipe Albuquerque 15. Grigor 17. Luis Miguel 12. Marcelo (G) 21. Matheus Anjos 22. Matheus Nunes 4. Mauricio Ribeiro 16. Roberto 18. Salatiel 13. Windson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Romildo Del Piage 🟨,
37', Guilherme Aquino 🟨,
42', Jhonatan Ribeiro 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Quaresma ↓, DG ↑,
46', Romildo Del Piage ↓, Hyan ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Jamerson ⚽,
63', Felipe Rangel ↓, Salatiel ↑,
63', Breno Santos ↓, Matheus Nunes ↑,
63', Joao Lucas ↓, Matheus Anjos ↑,
64', Jefferson Maciel ↓, Joao Maistro ↑,
67', Sorriso 🟨,
75', Avenatti F. ↓, Isaias ↑,
78', Vitor Feijao ↓, Calyson ↑,
80', Jamerson ↓, Gabriel Simples ↑,
86', Mancha ↓, Windson ↑,
90+1', Matheus Nunes 🟨,

Preview

Avaí has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Caxias is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Avaí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Avaí - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.23%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
11.04.26	Sport Recife - Avaí	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Chapecoense - Avaí	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Avaí - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
01.04.26	CRB Maceio - Avaí	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.03.26	Avaí - Cianorte	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TLTWT
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.26	Caxias - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Caxias - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
04.04.26	Brusque - Caxias	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.03.26	América Mineiro - Caxias	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Caxias - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWT

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