Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Play Offs - Final

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada) (Florianópolis)


	Avaí		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.92
	1.60	3.34	6.07	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.38
	3.34	2.43	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.5)	2.84 ↓ (2.98)	3.48 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
37.3%

Draw
34.5%

Chapecoense
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

31.5%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Avaí - Chapecoense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Chapecoense (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Chapecoense (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Leo Aragao (G) 14. Daniel Penha 15. Guilherme Aquino 10. Jean Lucas 50. Joao Maistro 8. Luiz Henrique (C) 25. Paulo Vitor 43. Thayllon 57. Walace Franca 2. Wallison 52. Wesley Gasolina	98. Anderson (G) 11. Bolasie Y. 91. Bruno Pacheco 27. Camilo Reijers (C) 97. Enio 26. Everton 77. Italo 20. Jean Carlos 4. Joao Paulo 99. Rafael Carvalheira 35. Vinicius Eduardo
Substitutes
6. Cabral N. 4. Gabriel Simples 18. Hyan 1. Igor Bohn (G) 16. Jamerson 90. Kevin 29. Marcio Vitor 21. Otavio Passos (G) 66. Quaresma 5. Romildo Del Piage 11. Sorriso 95. Wenderson	37. Clar W. 19. David Antunes 5. Joao Vitor 7. Marcinho 2. Marcos Vinicius 18. Neto Pessoa 1. Rafael Santos (G) 15. Rafael Thyere 94. Ramirez K. 70. Rubens Ricoldi 17. Vinicius Balieiro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Jean Lucas ⚽,
36', Joao Paulo 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Jean Lucas ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 0, Wallison ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Italo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
46', Vinicius Eduardo ↓, Rafael Thyere ↑,
66', Bolasie Y. ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
71', Walace Franca ↓, Wenderson ↑,
71', Thayllon ↓, Sorriso ↑,
75', Everton ↓, Marcos Vinicius ↑,
76', Bruno Pacheco 🟨,
86', Enio ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
88', Guilherme Aquino 🟨,
90', Jean Lucas ↓, Marcio Vitor ↑,
90+5', Rafael Carvalheira 🟨,
90+6', Paulo Vitor 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:26. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Avaí - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.5%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
30.05.26	Avaí - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
27.05.26	Avaí - Volta Redonda	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.05.26	Avaí - Goiás	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
20.05.26	Volta Redonda - Avaí	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
17.05.26	Vila Nova - Avaí	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTL
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie A
31.05.26	Palmeiras - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
27.05.26	Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
24.05.26	Cruzeiro - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
20.05.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.26	Chapecoense - Remo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Chapecoense - Avaí	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
21.01.26	Avaí - Chapecoense	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
25.09.25	Chapecoense - Avaí	0:1
24.05.25	Avaí - Chapecoense	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
22.03.25	Avaí - Chapecoense	1:1
15.03.25	Chapecoense - Avaí	2:2
29.01.25	Chapecoense - Avaí	0:0

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