Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 1

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada) (Florianópolis)

Referee: Goncalves K. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Avaí		Juventude

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.7
	2.62	3.1	2.68	Watch
	2.65	3.18	2.88
	2.64	3.13	2.74	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.75
	2.57	3.04	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.77)	3.08 ↑ (3.08)	2.75 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
36.1%

Draw
30.2%

Juventude
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

30%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

29.8%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Avaí - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Leo Aragao (G) 2. Wallison 3. Allyson 55. Bruno Baldini 36. DG 43. Thayllon 77. Ze Ricardo (C) 8. Luiz Henrique 10. Jean Lucas 14. Daniel Penha 9. Avenatti F.	93. Jandrei (G) 2. Rai Ramos 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 6. Wadson 17. Castro M. 44. Mandaca 5. Luan Martins 7. Pablo Roberto 10. Marcos Paulo
Substitutes
6. Cabral N. 30. Cristiano 15. Guilherme Aquino 18. Hyan 16. Jamerson 50. Joao Maistro 11. Joao Victor 21. Otavio Passos (G) 25. Paulo Vitor 57. Walace 95. Wenderson 52. Wesley Gasolina	9. Alan Kardec 25. Alisson Safira 20. Allanzinho 11. Fabio Lima 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 15. Leo Indio 26. Ly I. 22. Nathan 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 75. Rai Silva 21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 3. Titi
Coaches
Cauan de Almeida	Mauricio Barbieri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Avenatti F. ⚽, Thayllon (A),
42', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
45+2', DG 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rai Ramos ↓, Nathan ↑,
46', Wadson ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
56', Mauricio Barbieri 🟨,
61', Castro M. ↓, Fabio Lima ↑,
65', Avenatti F. ↓, Paulo Vitor ↑,
67', Thayllon ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
68', Pablo Roberto ↓, Rai Silva ↑,
74', Jean Lucas ↓, Walace ↑,
74', Luan Martins ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Walace ⚽,
76', Walace 🟨,
87', Daniel Penha ↓, Wenderson ↑,
87', Luiz Henrique ↓, Wesley Gasolina ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 1.

Recent performances by Avaí have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Juventude is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Avaí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Avaí: Quaresma (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Avaí: Romildo Del Piage (Muscle Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
17	Avai	32	9	6	17	32:43	-11	33

Last Results with these Odds

Juventude - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.71%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Recopa Catarinense
15.03.26	Avaí - Figueirense	4:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.03.26	Portuguesa - Avaí	2:1 penalties ✺
04.03.26	Avaí - Porto Vitória	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
28.02.26	Camboriú - Avaí	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Avaí - Santa Catarina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLW
- EC Juventude
Copa do Brasil
19.03.26	Juventude - Águia de Marabá	3:0 ✺
12.03.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Juventude	1:2 penalties ✺
05.03.26	Juventude - Guaporé	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
22.02.26	Juventude - Grêmio	1:2 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Grêmio - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.09.23	Avaí - Juventude	0:2
03.06.23	Juventude - Avaí	3:2
Brazilian Serie A
03.09.22	Juventude - Avaí	1:1
15.05.22	Avaí - Juventude	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
19.01.21	Avaí - Juventude	5:2
20.10.20	Juventude - Avaí	3:0
21.08.18	Avaí - Juventude	1:0

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