Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/128-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada) (Florianópolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video


	Avaí		Porto Vitória

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.8	8.5	Watch
	1.49	3.7	7.4
	1.47	3.92	6.65
	1.50	3.52	7.67	Watch
	1.44	3.7	7
	1.47	3.94	7.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.54)	3.76 ↑ (3.65)	7.4 ↑ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
63%

Draw
24.5%

Porto Vitória
12.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.8%

24.9%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

26%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Porto Vitória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Avaí - Porto Vitória Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Avaí (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avaí (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Thayllon ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Thayllon ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 3 - 0, Rafael Bilu ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Avaí has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Porto Vitória is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Avaí is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
28.02.26	Camboriú - Avaí	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Avaí - Santa Catarina	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Santa Catarina - Avaí	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Avaí - Camboriú	0:2 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Camboriú - Avaí	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLW
- Porto Vitória
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
28.02.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Porto Vitória	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES	1:1 ✺
12.02.26	Porto Vitória - Vilavelhense	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Noroeste - Porto Vitória	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Porto Vitória - Serra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
24.10.26	Avaí - Botafogo SP	✺

Avaí - Porto Vitória: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide