Match Info

Serie B - Round 16

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD) (Londrina)

Referee: Gomes A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, RedeTV!, SportyNet
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Londrina		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.65	Watch
	2.60	3.10	2.55
	2.62	3.05	2.68	Watch
	2.83	3.2	2.76
	2.69	3.06	2.69	Watch
	2.7	3.05	2.7
	2.68	3.04	2.65	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.85)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	2.67 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
34.8%

Draw
30.2%

CRB Maceio
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.8%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.7%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	61.5%	30.8%

Londrina - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). CRB will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 75. Kaue Leonardo 3. Yago Lincoln 15. Gabriel Lacerda 34. Heron 8. Lucas Marques (C) 5. Andre Luiz 7. Vitinho Mota 32. Joao Tavares 11. Iago Teles 9. Bruno Santos	1. Vitor Caetano (G) 32. Hereda 44. Henri 27. Fabio Alemao (C) 36. Lucas Lovat 21. Pedro Castro 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 10. Danielzinho 7. Douglas Baggio 28. Mikael 97. Dada Belmonte
Substitutes
17. Andre Cardoso 55. Caio Rafael 44. Caio Rodrigues 10. Gilberto 77. Juninho 33. Kevyn 1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 27. Murilo Sousa 18. Paulinho Moccelin 6. Rafael Monteiro 96. Thalis 4. Wallace	22. Bressan 45. De Lucca 23. Fabio Henrique (G) 16. Guilherme 11. Guilherme Pato 2. Kevin 77. Leo Campos 50. Luizao 19. Luiz Phellype 33. Lyncon 6. Reverson 20. Vinicius Barata
Coaches
Rogerio Micale	Eduardo Barroca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Danielzinho 🟨,
17', Hereda 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Bruno Santos (Penalty Awarded),
32', 2 - 0, Iago Teles ⚽, Vitinho Mota (A),
43', Joao Tavares 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Vitinho Mota ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
47', 3 - 0, Lucas Marques ⚽, Iago Teles (A),
51', Henri 🟨,
54', Hereda ↓, Kevin ↑,
55', Lucas Lovat ↓, De Lucca ↑,
55', Pedro Castro ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
55', Douglas Baggio ↓, Leo Campos ↑,
63', Lucas Marques ↓, Thalis ↑,
66', Fabio Alemao ↓, Bressan ↑,
77', 4 - 0, Bruno Santos ⚽, Iago Teles (A),
78', Heron ↓, Kevyn ↑,
79', Iago Teles ↓, Gilberto ↑,
83', Kaue Leonardo ↓, Wallace ↑,
84', 5 - 0, Gilberto ⚽, Joao Tavares (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Londrina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Londrina: Andre Dhominique (Inactive)

There will not play in CRB: Matheus Albino (Shoulder Injury) Thiaguinho (Yellow Cards)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Londrina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40:47	-7	28

Last Results with these Odds

Londrina - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.79%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
25.06.26	Cuiabá - Londrina	2:2 ✺
20.06.26	Londrina - Athletic Club	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Londrina - Avaí	3:2 ✺
06.06.26	Criciúma - Londrina	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Londrina - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWLL
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
30.06.26	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	CRB Maceio - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
12.06.26	Atlético Goianiense - CRB Maceio	3:3 ✺
07.06.26	CRB Maceio - São Bernardo	2:3 ✺
31.05.26	Cuiabá - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.10.23	Londrina - CRB Maceio	1:1
01.07.23	CRB Maceio - Londrina	2:1
30.08.22	Londrina - CRB Maceio	1:0
18.05.22	CRB Maceio - Londrina	1:0
10.11.21	CRB Maceio - Londrina	1:0
08.08.21	Londrina - CRB Maceio	0:2
31.08.19	Londrina - CRB Maceio	0:1

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