Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 16

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday


	Worthing		Aveley

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.1	5
	1.5	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.52	4.34	5.15
	1.56	4.28	5.2	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5
	1.51	4.35	5.27
	1.5	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)	4.28 ↑ (3.7)	5.23 ↑ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
60.9%

Draw
21.5%

Aveley
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24.5%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

23.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Worthing - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Cashman D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Coleman R. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Smith H. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Worthing is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aveley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Worthing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Worthing is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Worthing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Worthing won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Worthing - Morecambe	0:2 ✺
English National League South
29.10.24	Bath City - Worthing	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Worthing - Slough Town	4:3 ✺
22.10.24	Torquay United - Worthing	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLW
- Aveley
English National League South
02.11.24	Aveley - Weymouth	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Weston-super-Mare - Aveley	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Enfield Town - Aveley	2:4 ✺
12.10.24	Aveley - Chippenham Town	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Farnborough - Aveley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
03.02.24	Aveley - Worthing	0:3
19.08.23	Worthing - Aveley	1:2

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