Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 13

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Meadow Park (Borehamwood)


	Boreham Wood		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.5	4	6	Watch
	1.49	4.09	6.04
	1.52	4.08	6.23	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.47	4.15	6.2
	1.5	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.6)	4.03 ↑ (3.78)	5.96 ↑ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreham Wood
61.8%

Draw
22.8%

Hornchurch
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

23.9%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+2%)

Boreham Wood - Hornchurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Appiah K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Wraight T. ⚽,
90+2', Coxe C. 🟥,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 and 20).

Boreham Wood in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hornchurch is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Boreham Wood is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Boreham Wood to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Boreham Wood won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Boreham Wood won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boreham Wood
English National League South
19.10.24	Weston-super-Mare - Boreham Wood	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Boreham Wood - Carshalton Athletic	4:0 ✺
English National League South
05.10.24	Chippenham Town - Boreham Wood	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Boreham Wood - Larkhall Athletic	2:1 ✺
English National League South
21.09.24	Boreham Wood - Welling United	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWWW
- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
19.10.24	Hornchurch - Bath City	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Salisbury - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
05.10.24	Dorking Wanderers - Hornchurch	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.24	Hornchurch - Leiston	1:3 ET ✺
28.09.24	Leiston - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
24.10.15	Boreham Wood - Hornchurch	2:1
English National League South
29.03.13	Boreham Wood - Hornchurch	2:1
21.08.12	Hornchurch - Boreham Wood	N/A

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