Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 31

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Aveley		Enfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.4
	2	3.25	3.3
	2.04	3.41	3.39
	2.06	3.44	3.47
	1.91	3.4	3.75
	2.01	3.44	3.41
	2	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.26)	3.36 ↓ (3.41)	3.43 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
46%

Draw
27.3%

Enfield Town
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26.7%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aveley's performance.

Enfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Enfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Enfield Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Aveley - Enfield Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Youngs S. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Aveley is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Enfield is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Enfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aveley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aveley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 2.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Aveley won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Last Results with these Odds

Aveley - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.35%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
01.02.25	Chippenham Town - Aveley	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	Dorking Wanderers - Aveley	3:0 ✺
25.01.25	Aveley - Farnborough	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Truro City - Aveley	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Aveley - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLT
- Enfield Town
English National League South
01.02.25	Enfield Town - Farnborough	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Weymouth - Enfield Town	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Enfield Town - Bath City	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Maidstone United - Enfield Town	4:0 ✺
04.01.25	Enfield Town - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
19.10.24	Enfield Town - Aveley	2:4
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.04.23	Enfield Town - Aveley	1:2
09.12.22	Aveley - Enfield Town	1:1

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