Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 30

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Chippenham Town		Aveley

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.3
				Watch
	2.04	3.41	3.57
	2.05	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.99)	3.3 ↓ (3.49)	3.46 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
45.6%

Draw
27.8%

Aveley
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

26.5%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

25.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Chippenham Town - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Kabongolo B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Haines L. ⚽,
54', 2 - 1, Spokes L. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Chippenham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aveley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aveley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chippenham will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chippenham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Chippenham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English National League South
25.01.25	Boreham Wood - Chippenham Town	1:4 ✺
21.01.25	Chippenham Town - Worthing	2:3 ✺
18.01.25	Chippenham Town - Salisbury	0:1 ✺
11.01.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
01.01.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chippenham Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WLLTW
- Aveley
English National League South
28.01.25	Dorking Wanderers - Aveley	3:0 ✺
25.01.25	Aveley - Farnborough	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Truro City - Aveley	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Aveley - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
01.01.25	Chelmsford City - Aveley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
12.10.24	Aveley - Chippenham Town	0:1
20.01.24	Aveley - Chippenham Town	2:2
05.08.23	Chippenham Town - Aveley	1:0

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