Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 29

Date: 28 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Meadowbank (Dorking)


	Dorking Wanderers		Aveley

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.5	6.25
	1.38	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.68	7.28
	1.41	4.61	7.32	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.36	4.75	7.3
	1.38	4.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.42)	4.58 ↑ (4.5)	7.16 ↑ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
66.8%

Draw
20.2%

Aveley
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.5%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

19.5%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Dorking Wanderers - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Milsom R. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Prior J. ⚽,
73', Kabongolo B. 🟥,
80', 3 - 0, Norville-Williams J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Dorking is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dorking won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
25.01.25	Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Dorking Wanderers - Weston-super-Mare	1:3 ✺
11.01.25	Weymouth - Dorking Wanderers	2:3 ✺
04.01.25	Dorking Wanderers - Bath City	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Dorking Wanderers - Worthing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL
- Aveley
English National League South
25.01.25	Aveley - Farnborough	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Truro City - Aveley	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Aveley - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
01.01.25	Chelmsford City - Aveley	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Aveley - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
02.09.24	Aveley - Dorking Wanderers	3:1

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