Match Info

Serie B - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Castellammare di Stabia)

Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Juve Stabia		Avellino

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.05	3.8	Watch
	2.02	3.05	3.8
	2.16	3.05	4.18
	2.26	2.69	3.93	Watch
	2.07	3.1	3.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.93)	2.99 ↓ (3.22)	3.91 ↓ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
44.4%

Draw
31.5%

Avellino
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

29%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

30.5%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juve Stabia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	66.7%	11.1%

Juve Stabia - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Avellino will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Confente A. (G) 33. Giorgini A. 13. Varnier M. 6. Bellich M. 24. Carissoni L. 55. Leone G. 29. Correia O. 98. Mosti N. 11. Piscopo K. 37. Maistro F. 27. Candellone L. (C)	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 44. Simic L. 63. Fontanarosa A. 2. Missori F. 16. Kumi J. 6. Palmiero L. (C) 24. Sounas D. 23. Cagnano A. 14. Biasci T. 10. Russo R.
Substitutes
15. Baldi M. 23. Boer P. (G) 7. Burnete R. 77. Cacciamani A. 21. De Pieri G. 20. Duca E. 76. Mannini M. 10. Pierobon C. 3. Reale F. 4. Ruggero M. 19. Stabile G. 45. Zuccon F.	21. Armellino M. 39. Besaggio M. 17. Crespi V. 30. Daffara G. (G) 56. Enrici P. 8. Gyabuaa M. 94. Insigne R. 32. Lescano F. 79. Manzi C. 78. Milani A. 20. Palumbo M. 33. Panico G.
Coaches
Abate I.	Biancolino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Mosti N. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Bellich M. ⚽, Maistro F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Russo R. ↓, Crespi V. ↑,
46', Missori F. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
49', Candellone L. 🟨,
59', Palmiero L. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
68', Cagnano A. 🟨,
68', Correia O. 🟨,
70', Piscopo K. ↓, Cacciamani A. ↑,
70', Maistro F. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
70', Leone G. ↓, Pierobon C. ↑,
70', Cagnano A. ↓, Milani A. ↑,
77', Biasci T. ↓, Lescano F. ↑,
79', Varnier M. ↓, Baldi M. ↑,
88', Mosti N. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
90+4', Insigne R. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 2.

Juve Stabia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Avellino is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Juve Stabia might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Candellone L. (Muscle Injury) Ciammaglichella A. (Overload) Gabrielloni A. (Injury) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Avellino: D'Andrea L. (Knee Injury) De Cristofaro A. (Knee Injury) Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Patierno C. (Illness) Rigione M. (Muscle Injury) Tutino G. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Juve Stabia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
05.10.25	Carrarese - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
30.09.25	Juve Stabia - Mantova	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Catanzaro - Juve Stabia	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Spezia - Juve Stabia	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Juve Stabia - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWTWT
- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
04.10.25	Avellino - Mantova	0:0 ✺
30.09.25	Padova - Avellino	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Avellino - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Carrarese - Avellino	3:4 ✺
12.09.25	Avellino - Monza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
04.08.24	Avellino - Juve Stabia	3:1
Italian Serie C Group C
13.01.24	Avellino - Juve Stabia	2:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.11.23	Avellino - Juve Stabia	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
11.09.23	Juve Stabia - Avellino	1:0
02.04.23	Juve Stabia - Avellino	2:1
30.11.22	Avellino - Juve Stabia	0:0
03.02.22	Avellino - Juve Stabia	3:1

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