Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 31

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	FIFA+


	Avellino		Trapani

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.75	3.4	4.7
	1.74	3.46	5
	1.77	3.36	4.97	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.6
	1.66	3.42	4.93	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.6)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	4.7 (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
52.8%

Draw
27.6%

Trapani
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

26%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

23.5%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Trapani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avellino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Avellino - Trapani Predictions

Users Predictions: Avellino will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 23. Cagnano A. 24. Sounas D. 8. Rocca M. 6. Palmiero L. 91. Panico G. 32. Lescano F. 9. Patierno C.	1. Ujkaj E. (G) 17. Zappella D. 4. Sabatino S. 23. Malomo A. 33. Benedetti A. 25. Toscano M. 21. Carraro F. 27. Piovanello E. 18. Ruggiero Z. 30. Ciuferri F. 9. Anatriello G.
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 26. Cionek T. 7. D'Ausilio M. 38. Frascatore P. 77. Marson L. (G) 55. Mutanda N. 20. Palumbo M. 10. Russo R. 2. Todisco G. 19. Tribuzzi A. 35. Zuberek J.	22. Barosi D. (G) 99. Ciotti P. 7. Daka D. 94. Liotti D. 13. Mule E. 98. Ongaro E. 81. Salamone S. (G) 16. Sciortino R. 10. Segberg E. 28. Silvestri L. 11. Stensrud A. 14. Verna L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Sabatino S. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Panico G. ⚽,
44', Palmiero L. 🟨,
45+1', Cagnano A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Lescano F. ⚽, Rocca M. (A),
66', Anatriello G. ↓, Stensrud A. ↑,
66', Piovanello E. ↓, Daka D. ↑,
67', Palmiero L. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
72', Sabatino S. ↓, Mule E. ↑,
72', Carraro F. ↓, Verna L. ↑,
73', Patierno C. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
74', Sounas D. ↓, Armellino M. ↑,
84', Ciuferri F. ↓, Ongaro E. ↑,
87', Cagnano A. ↓, Frascatore P. ↑,
87', Panico G. ↓, Russo R. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avellino won 1.

Avellino is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Trapani is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Avellino is a favorite.

There will not play in Avellino: Aya R. (Knee Injury) Campanile A. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Trapani: Celiento D. (Yellow Cards) Valietti F. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Trapani: Carriero G. (Inactive) Hraiech S. (Inactive)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Avellino won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:15 (average 1.1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Avellino won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Avellino - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 55.22%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
08.03.25	ACR Messina - Avellino	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Avellino - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Casertana - Avellino	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Avellino - Crotone	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Foggia - Avellino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL
- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
08.03.25	Trapani - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Audace Cerignola - Trapani	1:0 ✺
24.02.25	ACR Messina - Trapani	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Trapani - Sorrento	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.02.25	Rimini - Trapani	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
30.10.24	Trapani - Avellino	1:2
Italian Serie B
06.02.17	Trapani - Avellino	0:0
10.09.16	Avellino - Trapani	0:0
19.04.16	Avellino - Trapani	1:3
05.12.15	Trapani - Avellino	2:1
16.05.15	Avellino - Trapani	1:1
24.12.14	Trapani - Avellino	4:1

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