Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 28

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno


	ACR Messina		Trapani

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.25	1.91
	3.68	3.6	1.94
	3.7	3.5	1.97
	3.7	3.2	1.95
	3.63	3.3	1.92	Watch
	3.55	3.25	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.24)	3.35 ↑ (3.3)	1.93 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
25.2%

Draw
27.4%

Trapani
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

27.7%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

27.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Trapani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

ACR Messina - Trapani Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trapani will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 37. Buchel M. 23. Crimi M. 44. Dumbravanu D. 4. Garofalo V. 6. Gelli J. 14. Gyamfi B. 3. Ingrosso G. 18. Luciani P. 16. Petrucci D. (C) 11. Tordini M.	1. Ujkaj E. (G) 9. Anatriello G. 33. Benedetti A. 21. Carraro F. 5. Celiento D. (C) 30. Ciuferri F. 23. Malomo A. 98. Ongaro E. 10. Segberg E. 28. Silvestri L. 25. Toscano M.
Substitutes
31. Anzelmo D. 90. Costantino R. 77. Dell'Aquila F. 9. De Sena C. 20. Haveri K. 15. Marino A. 22. Meli G. (G) 40. Morichelli R. 28. Pedicillo L. 30. Vicario J.	22. Barosi D. (G) 99. Ciotti P. 7. Daka D. 94. Liotti D. 13. Mule E. 27. Piovanello E. 18. Ruggiero Z. 81. Salamone S. (G) 16. Sciortino R. 11. Stensrud A. 14. Verna L. 17. Zappella D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Silvestri L. 🟨,
30', Segberg E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ongaro E. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
58', Petrucci D. ↓, Pedicillo L. ↑,
58', Tordini M. ↓, Dell'Aquila F. ↑,
69', Segberg E. ↓, Ciotti P. ↑,
70', Garofalo V. ↓, De Sena C. ↑,
70', Luciani P. ↓, Costantino R. ↑,
71', Malomo A. 🟨,
82', Ingrosso G. ↓, Haveri K. ↑,
84', Ciuferri F. ↓, Daka D. ↑,
84', Anatriello G. ↓, Stensrud A. ↑,
86', Crimi M. 🟨,
87', 0 - 1, Stensrud A. ⚽,
90+2', Carraro F. ↓, Ruggiero Z. ↑,
90+5', Krapikas T. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

ACR Messina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Trapani will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Last Results with these Odds

ACR Messina - the odds 3.24 are the expected chance of winning is 28.29%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
15.02.25	Benevento - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	ACR Messina - Picerno	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	ACR Messina - Latina	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Casertana - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
20.01.25	ACR Messina - Crotone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TTWTL
- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
16.02.25	Trapani - Sorrento	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.02.25	Rimini - Trapani	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
08.02.25	Turris - Trapani	0:4 ✺
01.02.25	Trapani - Potenza	4:2 ✺
26.01.25	Juventus U23 - Trapani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
11.10.24	Trapani - ACR Messina	1:1

ACR Messina - Trapani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide