The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avellino 47.7%
Draw 28.8%
Crotone 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
27.3%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
27%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avellino's performance.
Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crotone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avellino that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crotone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Avellino - Crotone Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Crotone will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 2. Todisco G. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 23. Cagnano A. 4. De Cristofaro A. 6. Palmiero L. 24. Sounas D. 91. Panico G. 9. Patierno C. 32. Lescano F.
1. Sassi J. (G) 18. Guerini A. 5. Cargnelutti R. 6. Di Pasquale D. 23. Groppelli F. 16. Gallo A. 15. Vinicius 10. Vitale M. 93. Tumminello M. 7. Oviszach E. 9. Gomez G. (C)
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 26. Cionek T. 7. D'Ausilio M. 79. Manzi C. 77. Marson L. (G) 20. Palumbo M. 12. Pizzella L. (G) 8. Rocca M. 10. Russo R. 35. Zuberek J.
13. Armini N. 21. Barberis A. 19. Cantisani R. 25. Cocetta N. 22. D'Alterio F. (G) 12. Martino A. P. (G) 11. Murano J. 2. Piras M. 20. Ricci F. 33. Rispoli A. 38. Schiro T. 41. Silva J. 8. Stronati R. 77. Vilardi M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Di Pasquale D. 🟨,
22', Panico G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', Guerini A. 🟨,
60', Vinicius 🟨,
62', Gomez G. ↓, Murano J. ↑,
62', Oviszach E. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
64', Lescano F. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
64', Palmiero L. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Rigione M. ⚽,
74', Vitale M. ↓, Ricci F. ↑,
82', Panico G. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
82', Sounas D. ↓, Pizzella L. ↑,
88', Groppelli F. ↓, Schiro T. ↑,
88', Gallo A. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Vinicius ⚽,
90', Stronati R. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Patierno C. ⚽,
90+4', Rocca M. 🟨,
90+4', Todisco G. ↓, Cionek T. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Avellino won 4.
At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
Crotone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Avellino will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Avellino won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.3:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Avellino won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.2:0.5).
Italy
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Iannarilli A. (G) 
Sounas D. 
Lescano F. 
Vinicius 
Cionek T. 
Palumbo M. 
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