Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 22

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale (Erice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Trapani		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.44	3.28	2.68	Watch
	2.25	3	2.9
	2.4	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.25	3.33	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.96)	3.23 ↓ (3.29)	2.91 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trapani
40%

Draw
28.4%

Sorrento
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

29.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trapani's form might have worsened.

Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sorrento's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trapani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sorrento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Trapani - Sorrento Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Trapani will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sorrento will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sorrento (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sorrento (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Trapani will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Trapani (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sorrento (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 31. Pirrello R. 13. Salines E. 23. Motoc A. 33. Benedetti A. (C) 8. Celeghin E. 74. Marcolini D. 30. Nicoli S. 26. Kirwan N. 10. Canotto L. 77. Stauciuc B.	1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 5. Shaw K. 6. Fusco F. 15. Solcia D. 32. Paglino S. 8. Cuccurullo M. 23. Cangianiello S. 46. Colombini L. 16. Ricci F. 11. Esposito M. 90. Sabbatani A.
Substitutes
35. Adragna G. 20. Aronica G. 19. Di Mitri S. 47. Di Noia G. 17. La Sorsa C. 27. Podrini F. 22. Salamone S. (G) 1. Ujkaj E. (G) 99. Vapore A.	20. Bernabeo S. 3. Crecco L. 31. D'Aniello A. (G) 22. Harrasser S. (G) 21. Matera A. 85. Milan M. 9. Plescia V. 4. Potenza A. 17. Riccardi P. 18. Tonni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Kirwan N. ⚽,
40', Marcolini D. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Salines E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Marcolini D. ↓, Aronica G. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Canotto L. ⚽,
62', Shaw K. ↓, Bernabeo S. ↑,
62', Cangianiello S. ↓, Potenza A. ↑,
65', Solcia D. 🟨,
73', Solcia D. ↓, Riccardi P. ↑,
74', Motoc A. 🟨,
78', Riccardi P. 🟨,
78', Salines E. ↓, Podrini F. ↑,
79', Canotto L. ↓, La Sorsa C. ↑,
83', Paglino S. ↓, Milan M. ↑,
83', 4 - 0, Stauciuc B. ⚽,
87', Benedetti A. ↓, Di Mitri S. ↑,
90', Stauciuc B. ↓, Adragna G. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 13).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sorrento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Trapani won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sorrento	8	6	0	2	12:7	5	18

Last Results with these Odds

Sorrento - the odds 3.66 are the expected chance of winning is 25.13%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
10.01.26	Latina - Trapani	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Trapani - Casarano	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Siracusa - Trapani	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Trapani - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Salernitana - Trapani	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTT
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
10.01.26	Sorrento - Foggia	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Cavese - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Sorrento - Picerno	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Atalanta U23 - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Sorrento - Potenza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Sorrento - Trapani	2:1 penalties
Italian Serie C Group C
06.09.25	Sorrento - Trapani	1:2
16.02.25	Trapani - Sorrento	0:0
06.10.24	Sorrento - Trapani	1:1

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