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Current Win Probability
Foggia 25.1%
Draw 29.7%
Avellino 45.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25%
27.5%
47.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.6%
27%
48.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Foggia - Avellino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. De Lucia V. (G) 6. Camigliano A. 20. Da Riva J. 90. Emmausso M. 3. Felicioli G. 31. Salines E. (C) 23. Sarr A. M. 2. Silvestro A. 17. Tascone S. 21. Vezzoni F. 7. Zunno M.
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 21. Armellino M. 23. Cagnano A. 29. Cancellotti T. 56. Enrici P. 32. Lescano F. 20. Palumbo M. 9. Patierno C. 5. Rigione M. 10. Russo R. 24. Sounas D.
Substitutes
37. Brugognone G. 8. Danzi A. 12. De Simone L. (G) 19. Dutu E. . Kiyine S. 13. Marzupio M. 4. Mazzocco D. 11. Orlando F. 32. Parodi G. 1. Perina P. (G)
26. Cionek T. 7. D'Ausilio M. 4. De Cristofaro A. 79. Manzi C. 77. Marson L. (G) 6. Palmiero L. 91. Panico G. 8. Rocca M. 2. Todisco G. 19. Tribuzzi A. 17. Zuberek J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Armellino M. 🟨,
12', Camigliano A. ↓, Dutu E. ↑,
38', 1 - 0, Vezzoni F. ⚽,
42', Zunno M. 🟨,
45', Silvestro A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Armellino M. ↓, Tribuzzi A. ↑,
46', Cagnano A. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
63', Russo R. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
73', Sarr A. M. ↓, Brugognone G. ↑,
76', Lescano F. ↓, Zuberek J. ↑,
83', Patierno C. 🟨,
85', Zunno M. ↓, Mazzocco D. ↑,
89', Da Riva J. 🟨,
90+3', Kiyine S. 🟨,
90+5', Tascone S. 🟥,
90+6', Tribuzzi A. 🟥,
90+9', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Foggia won 0.
Foggia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Avellino is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Foggia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Avellino will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Foggia won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16:27 (average 1.2:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Foggia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).