Match Info

BRAZIL: Gaucho - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Ildo Meneghetti (Porto Alegre)


	Avenida		EC Pelotas

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.3
	2.27	2.92	3.7
	2.27	2.76	3.51	Watch
	2.2	2.75	3.5
	2.23	2.79	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.19)	2.88 ↓ (2.99)	3.51 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avenida
41.7%

Draw
32%

EC Pelotas
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30.3%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.4%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avenida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

EC Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Pelotas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Avenida - EC Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodrigo Mama (G) 5. Amaral 11. Caique 6. Jimenez J. 7. Laion 15. Luiz Meneses 10. Matheus Martins 3. Micael 9. Michel 4. Vitor Dadalt 8. Ze Vitor	1. Jorge (G) 6. Bryan 10. Cesinha 2. Guilherme Gusso 18. Leo Ferraz 15. Mateus Silva 11. Ruster 8. Venicio 3. Victor Massaia 9. Warlei 4. Yuri Bigode (C)
Substitutes
19. Brayan 18. Bustamante H. 16. David Luis 12. Gabriel Toebe (G) 21. Gorgoroso Y. 20. JP Bardales 13. Kevlin 23. Paniagua M. 14. Rafael Klein 22. Ronald (G) 17. Tallyson 25. Vitor Junior	12. Ari (G) 16. Bruno Martins 22. Bruno Re 13. Duda 19. Emerson Brito 5. Heverton 17. Jacone 23. Joao Fernando (G) 20. Luizinho 14. Tiago Troleze 21. Vitinho 7. Xandy

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Cesinha 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Caique ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Caique ⚽,
55', Ze Vitor 🟨,
63', Mateus Silva 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Xandy ⚽,
74', Bruno Re 🟨,
79', Rodrigo Mama 🟨,
90', 3 - 1, JP Bardales ⚽,
90+9', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Avenida is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pelotas is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Avenida will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Avenida won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Avenida won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Avenida
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
05.03.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Avenida	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Avenida - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	EC Pelotas - Avenida	2:2 ✺
19.02.25	Avenida - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Avenida - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWTTT
- EC Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
05.03.25	Brasil de Pelotas - EC Pelotas	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	EC Pelotas - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	EC Pelotas - Avenida	2:2 ✺
19.02.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - EC Pelotas	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	EC Pelotas - Juventude	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
23.02.25	EC Pelotas - Avenida	2:2
30.01.25	EC Pelotas - Avenida	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
05.06.22	EC Pelotas - Avenida	1:0
20.04.22	Avenida - EC Pelotas	0:0

Avenida - EC Pelotas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide