The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avenida 27.1%
Draw 32.8%
EC São José Porto Alegre 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.3%
32.1%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
32.2%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avenida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avenida's form might have worsened.
EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting EC São José Porto Alegre's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avenida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for EC São José Porto Alegre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Avenida - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rodrigo Mama (G) 5. Amaral 10. Bustamante H. 9. Caique 6. Jimenez J. 3. Kevlin 7. Laion 11. Matheus Martins 4. Vitor Dadalt 2. Yander 8. Ze Vitor
1. Fabio Rampi (G) 2. Danielzinho 9. Douglas Oliveira 10. Gabriel Terra 7. Giovane Gomez 8. Gustavo Bagatini 4. Jadson 5. Jhonata Varela 6. Marco Freitas 3. Rafael Dumas 11. Rene
Substitutes
18. Brayan 16. David Luis 12. Gabriel Toebe (G) 21. Gorgoroso Y. 19. JP Bardales 13. Leo Cruz 15. Luiz Meneses 25. Micael 20. Michel 23. Paniagua M. 14. Rafael Klein 17. Tallyson
16. Evaristo 18. Ghiven 19. Kayan 14. Lailson 15. Lucas Hulk 17. Maicon Assis 20. Marcos Vinicius 21. Marquinhos 33. Pablo (G) 12. Peralta A. (G) 13. Tiago Pedra
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Giovane Gomez ⚽, Gustavo Bagatini (A),
31', Laion 🟨,
31', Jadson 🟨,
45', Douglas Oliveira 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Leo Cruz ⚽, Laion (A),
45+3', 2 - 1, Caique ⚽, Laion (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bustamante H. ↓, Michel ↑,
53', Matheus Martins 🟨,
56', Gabriel Terra 🟨,
60', Kevlin ↓, Rafael Klein ↑,
60', Ze Vitor ↓, Gorgoroso Y. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Fabio Rampi (Pen),
78', Rene ↓, Marcos Vinicius ↑,
84', Giovane Gomez ↓, Kayan ↑,
89', Amaral ↓, Luiz Meneses ↑,
90+5', Lailson 🟨,
90+8', Gabriel Terra ↓, Lucas Hulk ↑,
90+13', 3 - 2, Michel ⚽, Matheus Martins (A),
Preview
Recent matches Avenida is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
EC São José is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
EC São José could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Avenida won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.6:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Avenida won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).