Match Info

Gaucho - Relegation - Round 2

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday

Location: Eucaliptos (Santa Cruz do Sul)


	Avenida		Guarany de Bagé

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	2.8	Watch
				Watch
	2.63	2.88	2.92
	2.64	2.9	2.89	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.8
	2.6	2.8	2.8	Watch
	2.6	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.6)	2.81 ↓ (2.83)	2.85 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avenida
35.4%

Draw
32.5%

Guarany de Bagé
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

32.3%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avenida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Avenida - Guarany de Bagé Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodrigo Mama (C) 2. Cristian Lessa 3. Rodrigo Milanez 4. Matheus Santos 6. Vinicius Silva 8. Kauan Bizescki 5. Anderson Recife 7. Xandy 30. Tinga 11. Wesley Pionteck 9. Wellisson	1. Jonathan (G) 2. Talles 13. Alberte 4. Bruno Cardoso 14. Vitor Oliveira 16. Allan 15. Jean Martim 8. Murilo (C) 7. Marquinhos 10. Welder 11. Tony Junior
Substitutes
16. Adryel Itaqui 15. Anderson Uchoa 20. Emerson Junior 18. Emerson Tucao 14. Jo 21. Luisinho 22. Maicon (G) 19. Matheus Rodrigues 10. Ramirez J. 12. Ronaldo (G) 23. Yuri 25. Ze Pedro	20. Adailson 5. David Cunha 18. Hiago Lucas 6. Jean Carlos 9. Lucao 17. Marcao 19. Paulinho Souza 22. Raphinha 12. Thiago Goncalves (G)
Coaches
Gabriel Dutra	Paim A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Wesley Pionteck ⚽, Xandy (A),
31', Wesley Pionteck ↓, Emerson Tucao ↑,
32', 1 - 1, Marquinhos ⚽, Vitor Oliveira (A),
32', Marquinhos 🟨,
34', Bruno Cardoso 🟨,
38', Marquinhos 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 1, Wellisson (Penalty Awarded),
45+6', Rodrigo Mama 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lucao ↓, Adailson ↑,
47', Jean Martim 🟨,
61', Kauan Bizescki ↓, Anderson Uchoa ↑,
64', Vinicius Silva 🟨,
65', Jean Martim ↓, Marcao ↑,
65', Allan ↓, Paulinho Souza ↑,
77', Xandy ↓, Luisinho ↑,
77', Wellisson ↓, Matheus Rodrigues ↑,
77', Tinga ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
78', Vitor Oliveira ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
80', Tony Junior ↓, Raphinha ↑,
82', Marcao 🟨,
83', Ramirez J. 🟨,
86', Murilo 🟨,
90', Anderson Uchoa 🟨,
90+4', Jean Carlos 🟥,
90+7', Welder 🟥,
90+9', Talles 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Avenida have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guarany de Bagé has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Avenida won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Avenida won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Avenida
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
05.02.26	Inter Santa Maria - Avenida	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Inter Santa Maria - Avenida	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Avenida - Novo Hamburgo	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Avenida - Ypiranga	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Monsoon - Avenida	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLTWT
- Guarany de Bagé
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
06.02.26	Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Novo Hamburgo - Guarany de Bagé	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Guarany de Bagé - Inter Santa Maria	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Guarany de Bagé - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Caxias - Guarany de Bagé	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
19.02.24	Avenida - Guarany de Bagé	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
21.11.21	Guarany de Bagé - Avenida	2:1
13.11.21	Avenida - Guarany de Bagé	1:1
27.09.21	Avenida - Guarany de Bagé	0:1

Avenida - Guarany de Bagé: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide