Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/128-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul) 🌤️ ...


	Caxias		Guarany de Bagé

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	7
	1.49	3.6	6.25
	1.55	3.55	6.9
	1.51	3.68	6.75
	1.49	3.68	6.83	Watch
	1.5	3.5	7
	1.49	3.77	6.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	3.65 ↑ (3.63)	6.81 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
61.3%

Draw
25.2%

Guarany de Bagé
13.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61%

25.2%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Caxias - Guarany de Bagé Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, Welder ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Caxias has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guarany de Bagé has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Caxias is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
21.02.26	Caxias - São Luiz	0:2 penalties ✺
16.02.26	São Luiz - Caxias	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Caxias - Ypiranga	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Caxias - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
26.01.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Guarany de Bagé
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
21.02.26	Inter Santa Maria - Guarany de Bagé	0:1 ✺
16.02.26	Guarany de Bagé - Inter Santa Maria	3:2 ✺
09.02.26	Avenida - Guarany de Bagé	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Novo Hamburgo - Guarany de Bagé	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
18.01.26	Caxias - Guarany de Bagé	4:1
12.02.25	Guarany de Bagé - Caxias	0:0
08.02.24	Guarany de Bagé - Caxias	1:1
09.02.22	Guarany de Bagé - Caxias	1:1

Caxias - Guarany de Bagé: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide