The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guarany de Bagé 36.5%
Draw 33.8%
Inter Santa Maria 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
34.7%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
33.8%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Inter Santa Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Santa Maria than the current prediction. (-1%)
Guarany de Bagé - Inter Santa Maria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jonathan (G) 2. Talles 13. Alberte 4. Bruno Cardoso 6. Vitor Oliveira 16. Allan (C) 15. Jean Martim 8. Murilo 19. Paulinho Souza 9. Lucao 20. Adailson
20. Iago Hass (G) 2. Mizael 14. Salazar L. (C) 5. Mateus Santana 6. Chico Bala 8. Mossoro 7. Laion 98. Joao Felipe 18. Julio Simas 11. Jarro Pedroso 99. Michel Henrique
Substitutes
18. Hiago Lucas 17. Marcao 22. Raphinha 12. Thiago Goncalves (G) 11. Tony Junior
19. Guedes I. 22. Itaqui 4. Marcao 34. Marco Freitas 27. Marquinhos 94. Otavio Passos 1. Rafael Copetti (G) 28. Salas De La Hoz A. D. J. 3. Tairone 10. Vitor Junior 17. Wilson Junior 9. Yuri Mamute
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Michel Henrique ⚽, Laion (A),
14', Alberte 🟨,
15', 0 - 2, Salazar L. ⚽, Laion (A),
26', Allan ↓, Tony Junior ↑,
39', 1 - 2, Vitor Oliveira ⚽, Tony Junior (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jean Martim ↓, Marcao ↑,
46', Talles ↓, Raphinha ↑,
54', Joao Felipe ↓, Marco Freitas ↑,
59', Michel Henrique ↓, Wilson Junior ↑,
62', Rafael Copetti 🟨,
68', 2 - 2, Murilo ⚽, Adailson (A),
75', Jonathan ↓, Thiago Goncalves ↑,
76', Chico Bala ↓, Otavio Passos ↑,
76', Jarro Pedroso ↓, Yuri Mamute ↑,
76', Julio Simas ↓, Vitor Junior ↑,
78', 3 - 2, Tony Junior ⚽,
90+1', Thiago Goncalves 🟨,
90+5', Adailson ↓, Hiago Lucas ↑,
90+8', Mizael 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 2.
Guarany de Bagé is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Inter SM has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Guarany de Bagé won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).