Match Info
Gaucho - Relegation - Round 6Date: 7 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Eucaliptos (Santa Cruz do Sul)
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Avenida |
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Inter Santa Maria |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Avenida
69.7% | Draw
20.7% | Inter Santa Maria
9.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avenida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avenida's performance.Inter Santa Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inter Santa Maria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (-21%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avenida that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Santa Maria than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter Santa Maria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Avenida - Inter Santa Maria Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Inter SM (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter SM (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Ronaldo (G)
2. Cristian Lessa
3. Rodrigo Milanez
4. Matheus Santos
6. Vinicius Silva
8. Emerson Tucao
5. Anderson Recife (C)
7. Xandy
10. Ranisson
11. Adryel Itaqui
9. Wellisson
| 20. Iago Hass (G)
22. Itaqui (C)
34. Marco Freitas
4. Marcao
6. Chico Bala
8. Mossoro
18. Julio Simas
27. Marquinhos
98. Joao Felipe
19. Guedes I.
17. Wilson Junior
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| Substitutes |
15. Edmilson
14. Jo
22. Maicon (G)
19. Matheus Rodrigues
30. Tinga
23. Yuri
25. Ze Pedro
| 1. Comoreto V. (G)
30. Correa L. C.
12. de Avila G.
33. Fred
7. Laion
25. Noal E.
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| Coaches |
Gabriel Dutra
| Wiliam Campos
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Itaqui ↓, Noal E. ↑,
- 56', Xandy ↓, Matheus Rodrigues ↑,
- 56', Adryel Itaqui ↓, Yuri ↑,
- 57', Marcao 🟨,
- 62', Guedes I. ↓, Correa L. C. ↑,
- 64', Cristian Lessa ↓, Tinga ↑,
- 74', Emerson Junior ↓, Ze Pedro ↑,
- 74', Marquinhos ↓, Callegaro P. ↑,
- 74', Rodrigo Milanez ↓, Jo ↑,
- 80', Callegaro P. 🟨,
- 82', Ze Pedro 🟨,
- 87', Wilson Junior ↓, Fred ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avenida won 2.Avenida has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Inter SM is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Avenida is the undeniable favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Avenida won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.7:0.4).Including home matches between the teams, Avenida won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho | | | 05.02.26 | Inter Santa Maria - Avenida | 1:1 | | 31.01.26 | Inter Santa Maria - Avenida | 1:0 | | Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2 | | | 22.05.22 | Inter Santa Maria - Avenida | 0:1 | | 01.05.22 | Avenida - Inter Santa Maria | 1:0 | | 12.10.21 | Inter Santa Maria - Avenida | 0:0 | | 19.08.21 | Avenida - Inter Santa Maria | 1:0 | | 07.03.20 | Avenida - Inter Santa Maria | 1:1 |
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