Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 32

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Avia Świdnik		Korona Kielce 2

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.45	5.35
	1.44	4.46	5.19
	1.49	4.33	5.24	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5.5
	1.42	4.4	5.86	Watch
	1.31	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.31)	4.42 ↓ (5)	5.52 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avia Świdnik
63.3%

Draw
20.4%

Korona Kielce 2
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

17.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

18.3%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avia Świdnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Korona Kielce 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avia Świdnik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Avia Świdnik - Korona Kielce 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Nojszewski J. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Kaminski S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, Remenyuk A. ⚽,
67', 3 - 1, Pigiel M. ⚽,
77', 4 - 1, Remenyuk A. ⚽,
87', 5 - 1, Pisarek D. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Avia Świdnik is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:7. (average 2.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Avia Świdnik won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 3.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Korona Kielce II	11	3	2	6	23:27	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.05.26	Star Starachowice - Avia Świdnik	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Avia Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Avia Świdnik	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Avia Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWTWT
- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.05.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Wisłoka Dębica	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:1 ✺
01.05.26	Wisła II Kraków - Korona Kielce 2	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Korona Kielce 2	4:1 ✺
17.04.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Naprzód Jędrzejów	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
02.11.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Avia Świdnik	0:4
19.03.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Avia Świdnik	3:2
03.08.24	Avia Świdnik - Korona Kielce 2	1:1
10.06.23	Avia Świdnik - Korona Kielce 2	4:1
13.11.22	Korona Kielce 2 - Avia Świdnik	0:1
18.04.21	Korona Kielce 2 - Avia Świdnik	0:3
09.09.20	Avia Świdnik - Korona Kielce 2	6:1

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