Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Świdnik (Swidnik)

Referee: Urban P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport


	Avia Świdnik		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.95	4.15	1.58	Watch
	4.76	3.85	1.58
	10.71	6.28	1.22	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.62
	5.18	4.05	1.58	Watch
	5	4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.9 ↑ (4.5)	4.32 ↑ (3.76)	1.52 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avia Świdnik
16%

Draw
21.8%

Polonia Bytom
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

23.7%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

21.2%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avia Świdnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Bytom's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avia Świdnik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Bytom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Avia Świdnik - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Avia Świdnik will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Polonia Bytom will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avia Świdnik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sobieszczyk A. (G) 25. Zbozien D. 3. Kursa R. (C) 4. Rozmus K. 15. Assuncao D. 17. Kaminski S. 24. Uliczny P. 33. Pigiel M. 8. Zuber M. 19. Malecki P. 9. Remenyuk A.	1. Holewinski A. (G) 77. Szymanski J. 30. Krzyzak O. 5. Matic M. 22. Calavera J. 8. Labojko M. 18. Gajda T. (C) 10. Michalski K. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 23. Arak J. 11. Andrzejczak K.
Substitutes
1. Bartnik I. (G) 5. Dobrzynski R. 22. Janik O. 7. Kalinowski W. 99. Maj A. 18. Marek W. 6. Orzechowski K. 10. Zawadzki D. 21. Zmuda K.	27. Apolinarski J. 4. Bakala M. 21. Burkiewicz A. 35. Mazur K. (G) 16. Stefanski P. 14. Szymusik G. 29. Terlecki K. 9. Wojtyra K. 7. Zielinski L.
Coaches
Szacon W.	Tomczyk L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Michalski K. (Penalty Awarded),
15', 1 - 1, Zuber M. ⚽,
22', Kwiatkowski O. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Kwiatkowski O. ↓, Wojtyra K. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Pigiel M. ⚽,
51', Calavera J. ↓, Zielinski L. ↑,
53', Assuncao D. ↓, Kalinowski W. ↑,
58', 2 - 2, Matic M. ⚽,
60', Zbozien D. 🟨,
63', Zuber M. 🟨,
74', Matic M. 🟨,
76', 3 - 2, Uliczny P. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Pigiel M. ↓, Orzechowski K. ↑,
81', Michalski K. ↓, Apolinarski J. ↑,
85', Matic M. ↓, Szymusik G. ↑,
90', Zuber M. ↓, Maj A. ↑,
90+7', 4 - 2, Malecki P. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

In this match, Polonia Bytom is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Avia Świdnik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Including home match between the teams, Avia Świdnik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
29.11.25	Avia Świdnik - Naprzód Jędrzejów	4:1 ✺
22.11.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Avia Świdnik	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Avia Świdnik - Czarni Połaniec	5:3 ✺
08.11.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Avia Świdnik	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Avia Świdnik	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWWW
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
28.11.25	Polonia Bytom - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Polonia Bytom - Stal Mielec	4:1 ✺
09.11.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Bytom	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Polonia Bytom - Znicz Pruszków	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Goczałkowice Zdrój II - Polonia Bytom	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
25.09.24	Avia Świdnik - Polonia Bytom	4:3 penalties

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