Match Info

J1 League - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Mercari Stadium (Kashima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kashima Antlers		Avispa Fukuoka

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.10	4.75	Watch
	1.95	3.20	4.00
	1.76	3.30	4.70	Watch
	2.00	3.30	4.44
	1.74	3.48	5.27	Watch
	1.96	3.25	4.30
	1.87	3.12	5.09	Watch
	1.94	3.20	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.75)	3.24 ↓ (3.43)	4.61 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashima Antlers
50.2%

Draw
29.2%

Avispa Fukuoka
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.5%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kashima Antlers will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 37. Hirose R. 55. Ueda N. 5. Sekigawa I. 7. Ogawa R. 27. Matsumura Y. 8. Matheus Bueno 10. Shibasaki G. (C) 40. Suzuki Y. 30. Yoshida M. 9. Leo Ceara	1. Nagaishi T. (G) 16. Oka T. 3. Nara T. 15. Tsujioka Y. 47. Hashimoto Y. 55. Maeda K. 11. Miki T. (C) 22. Fujimoto K. 13. Morooka S. 6. Shigemi M. 9. Werik Popo
Substitutes
77. Cavric A. 17. Elber 24. Hayashu H. 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 25. Koike R. 6. Misao K. 34. Tokuda H. 23. Tsukui K. 21. Yamada T. (G)	41. Fujita K. (G) 23. Fukazawa D. 29. Maejima Y. 14. Nago S. 18. Sato S. 34. Shiihashi K. 52. Takemoto S. 37. Tashiro M. 7. Usui S.
Coaches
Oniki T.	Tsukahara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Nara T. (Own goal),
39', Nara T. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Morooka S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', Yoshida M. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
58', Matheus Bueno ↓, Misao K. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Leo Ceara ⚽, Matsumura Y. (A),
64', 3 - 1, Cavric A. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
65', Fujimoto K. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
65', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Fukazawa D. ↑,
65', Shigemi M. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
67', Sekigawa I. 🟨,
68', Matsumura Y. ↓, Hayashu H. ↑,
70', Werik Popo ↓, Usui S. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Leo Ceara (Own goal),
78', Maeda K. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
85', Shibasaki G. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
85', Hirose R. ↓, Koike R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 2.

Avispa Fukuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kashima is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Higuchi Y. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Fukushima K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashima Antlers: 13.09% Avispa Fukuoka: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kashima Antlers	4	4	0	0	11:6	5	12
15	Avispa Fukuoka	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
15.08.26	Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers	3:4 ✺
06.06.26	Kashima Antlers - Vissel Kobe	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Vissel Kobe - Kashima Antlers	5:0 ✺
23.05.26	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW
- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
15.08.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	JEF United Chiba - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Avispa Fukuoka - JEF United Chiba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
16.08.25	Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
06.08.25	Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka	3:2 ET
Japan J1 League
06.05.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers	0:1
19.10.24	Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0
03.04.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers	1:0
30.09.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers	0:0
Japan J League Cup
19.04.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers	2:1

Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide