Match Info

J1 League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kyoto Sanga		Avispa Fukuoka

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.60	3.20	2.65
	2.72	3.1	2.52	Watch
	2.9	3.38	2.61
	2.68	3.19	2.73	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.5
	2.79	3.34	2.54	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.55)	3.25 ↑ (3.02)	2.57 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyoto Sanga
34.2%

Draw
29%

Avispa Fukuoka
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

31%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Halls (G) 2. Fukuda S. 43. Weverton 50. Suzuki Y. 44. Sato K. 25. Yoon S. 38. Everton Maceio 48. Nakano R. 6. Joao Pedro 77. Arai H. 9. Rafael Elias (C)	1. Nagaishi T. (G) 23. Fukazawa D. 16. Oka T. 15. Tsujioka Y. 47. Hashimoto Y. 55. Maeda K. 11. Miki T. (C) 22. Fujimoto K. 13. Morooka S. 6. Shigemi M. 9. Werik Popo
Substitutes
10. Fukuoka S. 99. Honda F. 40. Ishida Y. 18. Matsuda T. 93. Nagasawa S. 15. Nagata K. 1. Ota G. (G) 5. Tawiah H. 60. Yamanaka R.	32. Brown A. 41. Fujita K. (G) 29. Maejima Y. 14. Nago S. 8. Okuno K. 34. Shiihashi K. 52. Takemoto S. 37. Tashiro M. 7. Usui S.
Coaches
Popovic R.	Tsukahara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Rafael Elias ⚽,
10', Maeda K. 🟨,
30', Fujimoto K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fujimoto K. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
57', Shigemi M. ↓, Usui S. ↑,
62', Nakano R. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
62', Everton Maceio ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Arai H. ⚽, Rafael Elias (A),
67', Yoon S. 🟨,
68', Maeda K. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
68', Werik Popo ↓, Nago S. ↑,
75', Hashimoto Y. 🟨,
81', Morooka S. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Halls (Own goal),
89', Weverton ↓, Nagata K. ↑,
89', Joao Pedro ↓, Fukuoka S. ↑,
90+6', Arai H. ↓, Honda F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.

Avispa Fukuoka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Kyoto: Sakai K. (Injury)

There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Fukushima K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kyoto: 1.57% Avispa Fukuoka: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Kyoto	4	1	1	2	6:8	-2	4
15	Avispa Fukuoka	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3

Last Results with these Odds

Kyoto Sanga - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.8%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Avispa Fukuoka - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.18%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Maruyasu Okazaki	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Mito HollyHock	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Kyoto Sanga	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTLW
- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Verspah Oita	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.05.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga	2:1 penalties
22.02.26	Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0
21.07.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga	2:2
09.03.25	Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1
07.07.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga	1:2
11.05.24	Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka	2:3
26.08.23	Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0

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