Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Championship Group - Round 8

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Cumana (Ayacucho)


	Ayacucho		Cantolao

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.46	4.1	5.8
	1.43	3.98	5.87
	1.5	4.18	6.32	Watch
	1.4	4	6
	1.42	4.2	6.46
	1.46	4.1	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	4.08 ↓ (4.13)	6 ↓ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayacucho
62.7%

Draw
22.2%

Cantolao
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22.1%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

23.3%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cantolao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Ayacucho - Cantolao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mayta Boza L. L. (G) 29. Aivar F. 2. Aquino H. 25. Ataupillco J. 11. Barboza S. 9. Peralta S. 10. Rios M. (C) 13. Rodriguez L. 5. Simon C. 16. Vilchez J.	1. Silva L. (G) 37. Ardiles R. 15. Cordova J. 16. Delgado J. 28. Flores A. 25. Laura A. 21. Lopez M. 5. Moreira F. (C) 8. Peral P. 9. Perez F. 32. Taype S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Rios M. ⚽,
16', 🟨,
16', 🟨,
18', Delgado J. 🟨,
35', Silva L. 🟥,
35', Barboza S. 🟥,
39', Cordova J. ↓, Bettocchi R. ↑,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
53', 1 - 1, Ataupillco J. (Own goal),
58', 1 - 2, Perez F. ⚽,
61', de la Cruz A. ↓, Loayza G. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Vilchez J. ⚽,
71', Perez F. ↓, Esparza J. ↑,
71', Ardiles R. ↓, Canova J. ↑,
72', Vilchez J. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑,
72', Aquino H. ↓, Zabala L. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Lopez M. ⚽,
87', Lopez M. ↓, Alzamora R. ↑,
87', Peralta S. ↓, Meza R. ↑,
87', Rodriguez L. ↓, Allcca A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Ayacucho is certain favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 26-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Ayacucho won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 2
12.09.24	Ayacucho - San Marcos	2:3 ✺
08.09.24	Pirata - Ayacucho	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Juan Pablo II College - Ayacucho	2:3 ✺
27.08.24	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
22.08.24	Cantolao - Ayacucho	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWL
- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 2
12.09.24	Cantolao - Juan Pablo II College	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	San Marcos - Cantolao	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Comerciantes Belén - Cantolao	0:0 ✺
27.08.24	Cantolao - Pirata	2:2 ✺
22.08.24	Cantolao - Ayacucho	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
22.08.24	Cantolao - Ayacucho	4:3
29.06.24	Cantolao - Ayacucho	1:2
05.05.24	Ayacucho - Cantolao	1:1
Peruvian Liga 1
29.10.22	Cantolao - Ayacucho	1:1
01.07.22	Ayacucho - Cantolao	1:2
30.07.21	Cantolao - Ayacucho	2:2
23.05.21	Cantolao - Ayacucho	2:2

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