The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cantolao 44.6%
Draw 28.2%
Ayacucho 27.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
27.7%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
26.7%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cantolao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cantolao's performance.
Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayacucho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cantolao that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayacucho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cantolao - Ayacucho Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Bettocchi R. (G) 2. Canova J. 16. Delgado J. 17. Esparza J. 28. Flores A. 25. Laura A. 7. Leyva G. 21. Lopez M. 5. Moreira F. (C) 27. Oliva G. 8. Peral P.
12. Mayta Boza L. L. (G) 4. Almeida 2. Aquino H. 25. Ataupillco J. 11. Barboza S. 9. Peralta S. 10. Rios M. (C) 13. Rodriguez L. 5. Simon C. 6. Tuesta J. 16. Vilchez J.
Substitutes
6. Alzamora R. 35. Bringas R. 3. Cabanillas M. 33. Ciucci E. 22. Da Costa F. 10. Delgado V. 41. Gatica T. 24. Lara J. 23. Panaifo M.
3. Achahuanco E. 22. Allcca A. 24. de la Cruz A. 14. Delgado J. 7. Loayza G. 21. Palomino F. (G) 19. Ruidiaz Y. 23. Zabala L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Lopez M. ⚽,
17', Laura A. 🟨,
26', Delgado J. 🟨,
34', Delgado J. 🟨,
35', Leyva G. 🟨,
36', Aquino H. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Oliva G. ⚽,
40', Laura A. ↓, Delgado V. ↑,
43', 2 - 1, Rios M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Rodriguez L. ↓, Zabala L. ↑,
46', Leyva G. 🟨,
54', 3 - 1, Lopez M. (Pen),
57', 3 - 2, Rios M. ⚽,
58', Almeida ↓, Loayza G. ↑,
60', Simon C. 🟨,
67', Oliva G. ↓, Lara J. ↑,
67', Esparza J. ↓, Ciucci E. ↑,
71', 4 - 2, Lopez M. ⚽,
71', Tuesta J. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑,
71', Vilchez J. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
77', 4 - 3, Rios M. ⚽,
85', Ruidiaz Y. 🟨,
86', Aquino H. ↓, Allcca A. ↑,
86', Lopez M. ↓, Alzamora R. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cantolao won 1.
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Cantolao won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Cantolao won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-16.