Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Championship Group - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Cumana (Ayacucho)


	Ayacucho		San Marcos

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.5
	1.95	3.6	3.3
	2.21	3.55	2.7
	2.16	3.67	3.04	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.96	3.52	3.31
	2.2	3.6	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.88)	3.56 ↑ (3.47)	3.16 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayacucho
45.4%

Draw
25.7%

San Marcos
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.3%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

25.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

San Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Ayacucho - San Marcos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Palomino F. (G) 22. Allcca A. 2. Aquino H. 25. Ataupillco J. 11. Barboza S. 24. de la Cruz A. 9. Peralta S. 10. Rios M. (C) 5. Simon C. 6. Tuesta J. 23. Zabala L.	1. Camacho H. (G) 15. Aguirre W. 18. Ayala J. 8. Castro F. 81. Ibarguen E. 26. Layza M. 3. Mena J. 6. Sanchez A. 4. Soto J. 30. Tuesta J. 7. Velarde M. (C)
Substitutes
29. Aivar F. 4. Almeida 14. Delgado J. 7. Loayza G. 12. Mayta Boza L. L. (G) 13. Rodriguez L. 19. Ruidiaz Y. 17. Salcedo R. 16. Vilchez J.	29. Baylon J. 5. Bernaola B. 2. Estacio M. 10. Munoz J. 17. Rengifo D. 12. Sandi M. (G) 16. Vargas C. 9. Vasquez J. 19. Velasquez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Velarde M. ⚽,
5', 1 - 1, Mena J. (Own goal),
32', 1 - 2, Castro F. ⚽,
45+2', Camacho H. 🟨,
45+3', Sanchez A. 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 3, Aguirre W. ⚽,
61', Castro F. ↓, Vargas C. ↑,
61', Aguirre W. ↓, Vasquez J. ↑,
62', Zabala L. ↓, Vilchez J. ↑,
62', de la Cruz A. ↓, Loayza G. ↑,
69', 2 - 3, Peralta S. ⚽,
75', Tuesta J. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑,
77', Sanchez A. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
82', Allcca A. ↓, Salcedo R. ↑,
82', Rios M. ↓, Aivar F. ↑,
86', Velarde M. ↓, Rengifo D. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Ayacucho have a series of guest games.

Ayacucho will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 2
08.09.24	Pirata - Ayacucho	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Juan Pablo II College - Ayacucho	2:3 ✺
27.08.24	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
22.08.24	Cantolao - Ayacucho	4:3 ✺
18.08.24	San Marcos - Ayacucho	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLL
- FC San Marcos
Peruvian Liga 2
08.09.24	San Marcos - Cantolao	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Pirata - San Marcos	1:0 ✺
27.08.24	San Marcos - Juan Pablo II College	1:0 ✺
23.08.24	Comerciantes Belén - San Marcos	5:0 ✺
18.08.24	San Marcos - Ayacucho	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
18.08.24	San Marcos - Ayacucho	4:3

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