Match Info

Date: 7 April 2022, Thursday


	Ayacucho		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	7	4	1.5	Watch
	6.75	3.8	1.52
	7.5	3.95	1.44	Watch
	7.6	4.1	1.42
	7.92	4.27	1.45
	7.5	3.75	1.42	Watch
	7.4	4.3	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.38 ↑ (5.8)	4.02 ↑ (3.83)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayacucho
12.6%

Draw
23.1%

São Paulo
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

24.1%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

24.5%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Paulo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	11.1%	63%

Ayacucho - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Ayacucho will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). São Paulo will win (votes: 17 - 63%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 44.8% – 81.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Ayacucho is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

São Paulo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently São Paulo have a series of home games.

In this match São Paulo is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 1
01.04.22	Ayacucho - Cajamarca	3:2 ✺
20.03.22	ADT Tarma - Ayacucho	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.03.22	Sport Boys - Ayacucho	3:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
13.03.22	Ayacucho - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.03.22	Ayacucho - Sport Boys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLLW
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
03.04.22	Palmeiras - São Paulo	4:0 ✺
30.03.22	São Paulo - Palmeiras	3:1 ✺
27.03.22	São Paulo - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
22.03.22	São Paulo - São Bernardo	4:1 ✺
19.03.22	São Paulo - Botafogo SP	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWW

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