Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Cumana (Ayacucho)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Ayacucho		Sport Boys

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.25	3.75
	1.95	3.25	4.05	Watch
	1.96	3.13	4.02
	2.48	2.62	3.51	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.9
	1.98	3.38	4.14	Watch
	1.74	3.9	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.74)	3.25 ↓ (3.9)	3.99 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayacucho
47.8%

Draw
28.8%

Sport Boys
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

24%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

23%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayacucho's form might have worsened.

Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Ayacucho - Sport Boys Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ayacucho will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ayacucho will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Valencia J. (G) 55. Leon Canchanya B. H. 22. Bilbao J. 4. Yovera A. 29. Falconi J. 18. Orue D. 16. Vilchez J. 25. Ataupillco J. 14. Loayza G. 24. Perez Azambuya E. M. 77. Lucumi J.	1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 26. Riojas H. 20. Almiron M. 5. Colombo R. 16. Aranda S. 41. Solis A. 8. Da C. H. 24. Mora O. 31. Carbajal C. 11. Urruti L. 7. Lopez C.
Substitutes
26. Aquino H. 88. Arakaki H. 12. Caro D. 20. Correa Flores C. A. 66. de la Cruz A. 1. Izaguirre P. (G) 8. Ramirez D. 5. Tamariz A. 6. Tuesta J.	35. Alvarado D. 32. Flores V. 88. Franco E. (G) 23. Gonzales J. 22. Rios J. 13. Roca F. 18. Rodriguez G. 6. Saba E. 27. Villalta B.
Coaches
Castellanos S.	Reyes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Lucumi J. 🟨,
37', Vilchez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vilchez J. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
46', Loayza G. ↓, Arakaki H. ↑,
62', Lucumi J. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
63', Yovera A. 🟨,
69', Aranda S. ↓, Gonzales J. ↑,
78', Urruti L. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
80', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
80', Leon Canchanya B. H. 🟨,
87', Lopez C. ↓, Roca F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1.

Recent performances by Ayacucho have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sport Boys is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ayacucho is the team to beat.

There will not play in Sport Boys: Gonzales E. (Red Card) Salazar R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ayacucho won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 1
26.07.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Ayacucho	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Ayacucho - Atlético Grau	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Ayacucho - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Ayacucho	0:1 ✺
27.06.25	Ayacucho - Los Chankas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WLWWL
- Sport Boys Association
Peruvian Liga 1
26.07.25	Sport Boys - Sporting Cristal	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Juan Pablo II College - Sport Boys	3:0 ✺
12.07.25	Alianza Atlético - Sport Boys	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Sport Boys - Cusco	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Cajamarca - Sport Boys	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
22.02.25	Sport Boys - Ayacucho	2:1
02.09.22	Ayacucho - Sport Boys	1:1
17.04.22	Sport Boys - Ayacucho	1:0
Copa Sudamericana
16.03.22	Sport Boys - Ayacucho	3:2
09.03.22	Ayacucho - Sport Boys	2:0
Peruvian Liga 1
24.07.21	Ayacucho - Sport Boys	1:2
24.11.20	Sport Boys - Ayacucho	0:1

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