Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 30

Date: 24 March 2023, Friday

Location: Somerset Park (Ayr)

Referee: Napier C. (Sco)


	Ayr United		Cove Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.37	4.75	6.75
	1.35	4.5	7
	1.35	5.15	8.6
	1.35	4.33	8	Watch
	1.35	4.85	7.8	Watch
	1.33	4.7	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.55)	4.72 ↑ (3.75)	7.52 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayr United
68.3%

Draw
19.5%

Cove Rangers
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

24.2%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

14.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayr United's performance.

Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cove Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-33%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayr United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cove Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	0%	31.6%

Ayr United - Cove Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ayr will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Cove will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ayr: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Ayr is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cove has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cove could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ayr have a series of guest games.

In this match Ayr is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ayr won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ayr won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayr United
Scottish Football Championship
21.03.23	Dundee - Ayr United	3:1 ✺
18.03.23	Hamilton Academical - Ayr United	0:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
13.03.23	Falkirk - Ayr United	2:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
07.03.23	Greenock Morton - Ayr United	1:3 ✺
04.03.23	Ayr United - Inverness	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL
- Cove Rangers
Scottish Football Championship
18.03.23	Raith Rovers - Cove Rangers	6:1 ✺
10.03.23	Queens Park - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Cove Rangers - Dundee	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Greenock Morton - Cove Rangers	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Cove Rangers - Arbroath	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Cup
31.01.23	Cove Rangers - Ayr United	0:3
Scottish Football Championship
27.01.23	Cove Rangers - Ayr United	0:5
22.10.22	Ayr United - Cove Rangers	2:2
20.08.22	Cove Rangers - Ayr United	1:2

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