Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Queen of the South		Ayr United

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.4
	2.75	3.2	2.43
	2.65	3.2	2.5
	2.87	3.4	2.5
	2.7	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.85	3.42	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	2.43 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queen of the South
33.7%

Draw
28.2%

Ayr United
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

27.5%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

27%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queen of the South has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Queen of the South - Ayr United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 3.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Queen of the South could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Queen of the South won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queen of the South
Scottish Football Championship
19.04.22	Queen of the South - Inverness	2:1 ✺
16.04.22	Arbroath - Queen of the South	5:1 ✺
08.04.22	Queen of the South - Partick Thistle	0:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
03.04.22	Raith Rovers - Queen of the South	3:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
26.03.22	Hamilton Academical - Queen of the South	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLL
- Ayr United
Scottish Football Championship
16.04.22	Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Ayr United - Inverness	2:2 ✺
01.04.22	Ayr United - Hamilton Academical	1:1 ✺
26.03.22	Greenock Morton - Ayr United	1:1 ✺
19.03.22	Arbroath - Ayr United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
26.02.22	Ayr United - Queen of the South	0:1
18.12.21	Queen of the South - Ayr United	3:0
16.10.21	Ayr United - Queen of the South	2:1
24.04.21	Ayr United - Queen of the South	0:0
02.01.21	Queen of the South - Ayr United	3:2
17.10.20	Ayr United - Queen of the South	2:1
28.12.19	Ayr United - Queen of the South	1:2

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