The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ayr United 43.6%
Draw 28.3%
Stenhousemuir 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
28.5%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
28.4%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Ayr United - Stenhousemuir Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Stenhousemuir will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
AH +0.25 - Stenhousemuir (1.80) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stone H. (G) 32. Watret D. 8. King L. 20. McBeth L. 33. McMann S. 12. Whyte O. 6. Lyon R. (C) 16. Summers B. 11. Taylor R. 9. Landers J. 17. Hatton T.
1. Jamieson D. (G) 24. Grant L. 5. Young S. 19. Bright S. 2. Meechan R. (C) 17. Anderson M. 39. Gillies M. 37. MacIntyre O. 20. Stevenson G. 11. O'Donnell L. 10. Shinnie A.
Substitutes
3. Dick L. 2. McAllister N. 25. Mitchell K. 38. Russell L. (G) 10. Shanks K. 7. Stirton O. 21. Walker E.
14. Bilham K. 4. Buchanan G. 34. Hemfrey R. (G) 21. Hodgkiss L. 22. Kargbo H. 36. Lloyd L. 7. O'Reilly E. 28. Penman C. 8. Robson F.
Coaches
Naysmith G.
Bartley M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Young S. ⚽, Bright S. (A),
30', Grant L. 🟨,
43', Gillies M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Grant L. ↓, Penman C. ↑,
50', Taylor R. 🟨,
51', Shinnie A. 🟨,
58', O'Donnell L. ↓, Hodgkiss L. ↑,
58', Gillies M. ↓, Robson F. ↑,
60', Landers J. ↓, Stirton O. ↑,
60', Taylor R. ↓, Walker E. ↑,
68', Shinnie A. ↓, Kargbo H. ↑,
78', Lyon R. ↓, Shanks K. ↑,
78', Stevenson G. ↓, O'Reilly E. ↑,
86', Watret D. ↓, McAllister N. ↑,
86', McMann S. ↓, Dick L. ↑,
87', Shanks K. 🟨,
89', McAllister N. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 6th and 1st in the Promotion ~ Premiership).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 5.
Recent results have been tough for Ayr (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Stenhousemuir is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Ayr could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Stenhousemuir has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Ayr is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Ayr has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:17 (averaging 2.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ayr against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 23:12 goals (averaging 2.9:1.5 per game).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
Stenhousemuir: 21.23% Ayr: 1.52%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Stenhousemuir
8
7
1
0
12:2
10
22
6
Ayr
9
3
2
4
9:10
-1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Ayr United - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.42%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Stenhousemuir - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.12%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Stone H. (G) 
Walker E. 
Lloyd L. 
