Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 29Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Calamonte |
|
Diocesano |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.2 |
3.45 |
|
 |
1.92 |
3.35 |
3.67 |
|
 |
1.93 |
3.43 |
3.59 |
 Watch |
 |
1.91 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.97 |
3.62 |
3.52 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.22) |
3.38 ↑
(3.2) |
3.55 ↑
(3.05) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Calamonte
47.2% | Draw
27% | Diocesano
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calamonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calamonte's performance.Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+2.8%)Calamonte - Diocesano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 70', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calamonte won 0.Calamonte is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Diocesano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Diocesano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Calamonte is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Calamonte won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:24. (average 1:2.4).Including home matches between the teams, Calamonte won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 23.11.25 | Diocesano - Calamonte | 1:1 | | 09.03.25 | Diocesano - Calamonte | 3:0 | | 27.10.24 | Calamonte - Diocesano | 1:1 | | 07.04.24 | Calamonte - Diocesano | 1:4 | | 19.11.23 | Diocesano - Calamonte | 3:0 | | 10.04.22 | Calamonte - Diocesano | 1:3 | | 05.12.21 | Diocesano - Calamonte | 4:1 |
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