Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 21Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday
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Pueblonuevo |
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Diocesano |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.1 |
3.2 |
3.05 |
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 |
2.39 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
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 |
2.14 |
3.28 |
3.18 |
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2.3 |
3.1 |
2.75 |
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2.1 |
3.2 |
3.21 |
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3.4 |
3.14 |
2.05 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(2.9) |
3.19 ↑
(2.97) |
2.86 ↑
(2.4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pueblonuevo
38.5% | Draw
29.1% | Diocesano
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pueblonuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pueblonuevo's performance.Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diocesano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pueblonuevo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diocesano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Pueblonuevo - Diocesano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 87', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+10', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pueblonuevo won 1.Both teams are struggling and far from their best. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pueblonuevo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.8:2).Including home match between the teams, Pueblonuevo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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