Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 21Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday
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Jerez |
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Puebla de la Calzada |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.82 |
3.25 |
3.8 |
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 |
1.65 |
3.6 |
4.45 |
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 |
1.66 |
3.96 |
4.55 |
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1.59 |
4.07 |
4.69 |
 Watch |
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1.65 |
3.6 |
4.5 |
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1.69 |
3.77 |
4.71 |
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1.9 |
2.66 |
5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.58) |
3.56 ↓
(3.62) |
4.53 ↓
(5.02) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jerez
53.8% | Draw
25.8% | Puebla de la Calzada
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jerez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (-3%)Jerez - Puebla de la Calzada Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Aziz B. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).Jerez is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).Puebla is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Puebla has had a series of home games. In this match, Jerez is considered a favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jerez won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
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| 12 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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