Match Info

J3 League - Round 35

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium (Okinawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ryūkyū		Azul Claro Numazu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	3.3	2.78	Watch
	2.31	3.52	2.86
	2.25	3.62	2.81	Watch
	2.26	3.26	2.84	Watch
	2.25	3.35	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.25)	3.41 ↓ (3.62)	2.81 (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
40.5%

Draw
26.8%

Azul Claro Numazu
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

25.7%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

24.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (-1%)

Ryūkyū - Azul Claro Numazu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sato H. (G) 3. Kikuchi S. 14. Suzuki J. 4. Fujiharu H. 15. Araki R. 11. Ishiura T. 18. Hiramatsu S. 20. Nagai S. 23. Sota K. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 9. Asakawa H.	30. Gueguim G. (G) 5. Shinozaki T. 34. Miyazaki K. 7. Numata K. 22. Ichimaru D. 13. Watai K. 14. Tokunaga K. 2. Miyawaki S. 24. Yanagimachi K. 35. Mukai H. 23. Shirawachi K.
Substitutes
17. Einaga T. 8. Iwabuchi R. 13. Iwamoto S. 50. Kawashima K. (G) 58. Shigema K. 89. Takagi D. 28. Tsuha J. 47. Wade M. 22. Yamato Y.	28. Inoue K. 20. Kawamata K. 3. Lucas Sena 21. Maeda H. (G) 77. Martinez E. 16. Mihara S. 11. Mori Y. 19. Saito M. 18. Sugai T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Asakawa H. ⚽, Kikuchi S. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Yanagimachi K. ⚽, Watai K. (A),
44', Watai K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', Ishiura T. ↓, Iwamoto S. ↑,
62', Nagai S. ↓, Einaga T. ↑,
62', Yanagimachi K. ↓, Mori Y. ↑,
62', Watai K. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
70', Hiramatsu S. 🟨,
76', Asakawa H. ↓, Wade M. ↑,
77', Miyawaki S. ↓, Lucas Sena ↑,
77', Mukai H. ↓, Saito M. ↑,
82', Araki R. 🟨,
82', Shirawachi K. ↓, Kawamata K. ↑,
84', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Takagi D. ↑,
84', Sota K. ↓, Yamato Y. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Shinozaki T. ⚽, Tokunaga K. (A),
90+1', 2 - 2, Fujiharu H. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, Miyazaki K. ⚽, Shinozaki T. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ryūkyū won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Azul Claro Numazu - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.06%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J3 League
03.11.25	Ryūkyū - Tochigi City	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Ryūkyū - Kochi United	2:1 ✺
10.10.25	Osaka - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ryūkyū - Nara Club	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWLL
- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
02.11.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Nagano Parceiro - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Osaka	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Kochi United - Azul Claro Numazu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
21.06.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Ryūkyū	0:2
21.09.24	Ryūkyū - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1
24.03.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Ryūkyū	2:1
30.07.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Ryūkyū	4:0
03.06.23	Ryūkyū - Azul Claro Numazu	3:0

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