Match Info

J2/J3 League - Placement matches - Round 1

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)


	Tochigi		Nagano Parceiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.55	4.45	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.84
	1.66	3.86	4.78	Watch
	1.57	3.6	4.75
	1.68	3.78	4.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)	3.72 ↑ (3.64)	4.73 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tochigi
55.8%

Draw
24.8%

Nagano Parceiro
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.6%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

27%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

The chances for Nagano Parceiro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (-1%)

Tochigi - Nagano Parceiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawata S. (G) 24. Tabata R. 5. Yanagi Y. 26. Tabata T. 6. Abe K. 15. Tsutsumi H. 47. Yoshino H. 13. Osone K. 81. Nakano K. 27. Nagai T. 9. Kondo Y.	1. Tajiri K. (G) 24. Watanabe Z. 2. Sakai S. 13. Tsukegi Y. 25. Tanaka K. 30. Nojima K. 46. Koga S. 6. Hasegawa H. 8. Kondo T. 11. Shin K. 28. Fujikawa K.
Substitutes
7. Kawana R. 37. Kimura Y. 80. Otabor K. 4. Sato S. 31. Shikano S. (G) 19. Shoji H. 17. Sugimori K. 39. Yagi K. 29. Yano K.	4. Gyotoku E. 15. Higuchi K. 19. Ito K. 17. Kutsuna K. 21. Nakano K. (G) 7. Ono Y. 10. Yamanaka R. 22. Yoshida K. 18. Yoshizawa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Yoshino H. 🟨,
57', Shin K. ↓, Yoshizawa S. ↑,
57', Nojima K. ↓, Higuchi K. ↑,
58', Osone K. ↓, Kawana R. ↑,
58', Nakano K. ↓, Sugimori K. ↑,
70', Kondo T. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
70', Koga S. ↓, Yoshida K. ↑,
78', Kondo Y. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
78', Nagai T. ↓, Yagi K. ↑,
84', Fujikawa K. ↓, Ito K. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Yanagi Y. ↓, Sato S. ↑,
103', Tabata T. 🟨,
104', Sakai S. ↓, Ono Y. ↑,
105', Hasegawa H. 🟨,
105+2', Sato S. 🟨,
106', Tabata T. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
111', Yoshizawa S. 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Yoshizawa S. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Yagi K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Tanaka K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Yoshino H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kutsuna K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Sugimori K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Yoshida K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Tsutsumi H. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Hasegawa H. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Recent form of Tochigi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nagano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tochigi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tochigi has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tochigi is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Tochigi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Nagano Parceiro - the odds 4.77 are the expected chance of winning is 19.55%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 J3 League
24.05.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Yokohama FC - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Tochigi - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 penalties ✺
06.05.26	Vegalta Sendai - Tochigi	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWLL
- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J2 J3 League
23.05.26	Nagano Parceiro - Ventforet Kofu	1:0 penalties ✺
17.05.26	Omiya Ardija - Nagano Parceiro	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Nagano Parceiro - Gifu	2:3 ✺
06.05.26	Consadole Sapporo - Nagano Parceiro	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Nagano Parceiro - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
29.11.25	Nagano Parceiro - Tochigi	0:4
06.05.25	Tochigi - Nagano Parceiro	1:0

Upcoming Matches