Match Info

Serie D - Round 14

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Os Pioneiros (Pato Branco)


	Azuriz		São Luiz

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	3.2
	1.72	3.15	4.55
	1.78	3.25	4.63
	1.94	3.39	3.70	Watch
	1.71	3.15	5.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.46)	3.15 ↓ (3.19)	4.23 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azuriz
49.1%

Draw
29.2%

São Luiz
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

28.3%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

27.4%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azuriz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Azuriz's performance.

São Luiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Luiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuriz than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Azuriz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Luiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Azuriz - São Luiz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 7).

Recent performances by Azuriz have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

São Luiz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

São Luiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Azuriz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Azuriz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Azuriz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azuriz FC
Brazilian Serie D
20.07.25	Brasil de Pelotas - Azuriz	4:0 ✺
13.07.25	Azuriz - Joinville	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Azuriz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Guarany de Bagé - Azuriz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLTW
- EC São Luiz
Brazilian Serie D
19.07.25	São Luiz - Barra Santa Catarina	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Brasil de Pelotas - São Luiz	0:1 ✺
30.06.25	São Luiz - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Joinville - São Luiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.04.25	São Luiz - Azuriz	1:2
10.07.22	Azuriz - São Luiz	1:2
23.04.22	São Luiz - Azuriz	2:0

Azuriz - São Luiz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide