Match Info

Serie D - Round 12

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Os Pioneiros (Pato Branco)


	Azuriz		Joinville

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.48	2.68	2.98
	2.54	2.8	3.05
				Watch
	2.5	2.69	3.06
	2.59	2.78	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.5)	2.75 ↓ (2.8)	2.91 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azuriz
35.9%

Draw
32.9%

Joinville
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

31.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

32.4%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azuriz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuriz than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Azuriz - Joinville Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Azuriz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Joinville has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Azuriz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Azuriz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azuriz FC
Brazilian Serie D
05.07.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Azuriz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Guarany de Bagé - Azuriz	0:1 ✺
08.06.25	Azuriz - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:3 ✺
31.05.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWLL
- Joinville
Brazilian Serie D
06.07.25	Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
30.06.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Joinville - São Luiz	2:1 ✺
08.06.25	Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	Joinville - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
03.05.25	Joinville - Azuriz	1:0

Azuriz - Joinville: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide