Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Nacional do Jamor (Lisbon - Oeiras)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)


	BSAD		Nacional

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.48	3.32	3.05
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.33	3.34	2.89
	2.31	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.35)	3.16 ↑ (3.11)	2.88 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BSAD
39.2%

Draw
29%

Nacional
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.5%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

28.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	87.5%	12.5%

BSAD - Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches BSAD won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches BSAD won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-17.

Including matches at home between the teams BSAD won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
19.02.23	Moreirense - BSAD	4:1 ✺
13.02.23	BSAD - Penafiel	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.02.23	Famalicão - BSAD	4:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
04.02.23	Porto B - BSAD	1:2 ✺
30.01.23	BSAD - Trofense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTLWT
- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
19.02.23	Nacional - Leixões	1:2 ✺
13.02.23	Mafra - Nacional	3:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.02.23	Casa Pia - Nacional	2:5 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
04.02.23	Nacional - Torreense	3:1 ✺
29.01.23	Tondela - Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
04.09.22	Nacional - BSAD	1:3
Liga Portugal
20.02.21	BSAD - Nacional	2:1
04.10.20	Nacional - BSAD	0:0
16.05.19	BSAD - Nacional	3:0
13.01.19	Nacional - BSAD	0:1
12.02.17	Nacional - BSAD	1:1
10.09.16	BSAD - Nacional	2:1

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