Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Madeira (Funchal)

Referee: Macedo C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Nacional		Torreense

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.8
	1.9	3.2	3.6
	1.95	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2	3.35	3.8
	1.97	3.48	4.17
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.91	3.52	3.89
	1.91	3.3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.07)	3.37 ↓ (3.46)	3.77 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
48%

Draw
27.4%

Torreense
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

27.4%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

28.2%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Nacional - Torreense Predictions

Users Predictions: Nacional will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Lucas Franca (G) 2. Aurelio J. (C) 4. Paulo Vitor 3. Pola J. 5. Jose Gomes 8. Danilovic V. 28. Carlos Daniel 11. Witi 10. Esteves L. 77. Gustavo 9. Ramirez J.	1. Vagner (G) 5. Afonso J. (C) 77. Neneco 31. Joaozinho 22. Daniel Bolt 30. Balanta J. 8. Benny 23. Lucas Silva 27. Prado P. 10. Welthon F. S. 20. Andrade T.
Substitutes
71. Diga 99. Dudu 1. Encarnacao R. (G) 33. Goncalves C. 20. Jota Garces 7. Macedo R. 21. Marakis S. 55. Sousa A.	19. Arriba J. 40. Gomez P. 32. Guzman S. 80. Keffel 29. Patrick 9. Paulinho 12. Ricardo Fernandes (G) 21. Rodrigues A. 6. Tavares D.
Coaches
Margarido T.	Tulipa

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Nacional have a series of guest games.

Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
21.01.24	Marítimo - Nacional	3:1 ✺
15.01.24	Mafra - Nacional	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.24	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.01.24	Nacional - Tondela	1:1 ✺
30.12.23	Porto B - Nacional	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLTW
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
21.01.24	Torreense - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
15.01.24	Torreense - Penafiel	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Feirense - Torreense	3:1 ✺
21.12.23	Torreense - Vilaverdense	3:1 ✺
16.12.23	Académico de Viseu - Torreense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
21.08.23	Torreense - Nacional	3:0
04.02.23	Nacional - Torreense	3:1
13.08.22	Torreense - Nacional	0:2
Taça de Portugal
20.11.16	Torreense - Nacional	1:0

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