Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)

Referee: Rosa D. (Por)


	Mafra		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.77	3.4	4
	1.74	3.2	4.7
	1.81	3.45	4.2
	1.85	3.54	4.66
	1.78	3.3	4
	1.75	3.64	4.15
	1.78	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)	3.43 ↓ (3.5)	4.25 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
51.6%

Draw
26.8%

BSAD
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.8%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

25.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Mafra - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). BSAD will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mafra: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

BSAD could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mafra is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
23.12.22	Vilafranquense - Mafra	3:3 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
16.12.22	Chaves - Mafra	1:2 ✺
05.12.22	Mafra - Vizela	1:1 ✺
25.11.22	Porto - Mafra	2:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
14.11.22	Mafra - Leixões	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.5 TWTTT
- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
29.12.22	BSAD - Leixões	2:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
11.12.22	Vilafranquense - BSAD	0:0 ✺
01.12.22	Vitoria Guimarães - BSAD	2:2 ✺
18.11.22	BSAD - Boavista	2:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.11.22	Covilhã - BSAD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese League Cup
24.07.21	Mafra - BSAD	1:0

Mafra - BSAD: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide