Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 22

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Portimonense		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.9	Watch
	4	3.5	1.9	Watch
	4.34	3.56	1.92
	4.24	3.62	1.93
	3.9	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.11	3.6	1.96	Watch
	4	3.55	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (4.09)	3.53 ↓ (3.57)	1.91 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
23.4%

Draw
26.9%

Vitoria Guimarães
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

26.6%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

26.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	13.3%	66.7%

Portimonense - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Guimarães will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Nakamura K. (G) 43. Tornich 44. Pedrao (C) 22. Relvas F. 33. Igor Formiga 13. Dener 11. Carlinhos 25. Lucas Ventura 7. Jasper S. 10. Pereira H. 77. Varela H.	27. Charles (G) 6. Manu 44. Fernandes J. 4. Ribeiro T. 76. Gaspar B. 10. Tiago Silva (C) 21. Andre 17. Mendes J. 19. Mangas R. 7. Andre Silva 77. Santos N.
Substitutes
19. Carrillo R. 18. Costa G. 8. Fukui T. 27. Guga 70. Martins R. 5. Mvoue S. 4. Thiago Dombroski 12. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 99. Zinho	22. Butzke A. 52. Costa A. 72. Freitas A. 37. Kaio Cesar 2. Miguel Maga 46. Nunes H. 79. Oliveira N. 53. Oliveira P. R. (G) 28. Ze Carlos
Coaches
Paulo Sergio	Pacheco A.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 3.

Recent matches Portimonense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guimarães is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guimarães is a favorite.

There will not play in Portimonense: Monteiro T. (Injury)

There will not play in Guimarães: Arcanjo T. (Injury) Borevkovic T. (Red Card) Jota Silva (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Guimarães: Villanueva M. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Portimonense won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Liga Portugal
09.02.24	Estrela da Amadora - Portimonense	3:0 ✺
03.02.24	Portimonense - Arouca	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	Boavista - Portimonense	1:4 ✺
21.01.24	Portimonense - Gil Vicente	0:2 ✺
12.01.24	Portimonense - Farense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWLW
- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
11.02.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.02.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.02.24	Vizela - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Gil Vicente - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
17.09.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Portimonense	1:2
11.02.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Portimonense	1:0
21.08.22	Portimonense - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1
17.01.22	Portimonense - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1
08.08.21	Vitoria Guimarães - Portimonense	0:1
09.04.21	Portimonense - Vitoria Guimarães	3:0
05.12.20	Vitoria Guimarães - Portimonense	1:0

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