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Current Win Probability
BSAD 7.1%
Draw 14.4%
Porto 78.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
7%
14%
79%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.2%
16.3%
75.5%
BSAD - Porto Predictions
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. BSAD will win (votes: 4 - 8.2%). Porto will win (votes: 37 - 75.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 63.5% – 87.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (41.21%), has project points - 27, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Porto has the most likely position - 1 (73.59%), has project points - 86, has currently - 47, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (>99%), has a good chance of win league (74%).
Belenenses is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Porto is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Porto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Belenenses have a series of guest games.
In this match Porto is absolute favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 9-39.
Including matches at home between the teams Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.
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