Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sportpark Goed Genoeg (Amsterdam) 🌤️ ...


	Amsterdamsche FC		HSV Hoek

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.50	2.20
	2.80	3.45	2.12
	2.57	3.73	2.41
	2.7	3.78	2.3	Watch
	2.50	3.65	2.25
	2.82	3.86	2.19
	2.70	3.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.85)	3.65 ↑ (3.45)	2.25 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amsterdamsche FC
34.2%

Draw
25.1%

HSV Hoek
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

25.4%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amsterdamsche FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

HSV Hoek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Amsterdamsche FC - HSV Hoek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Zetten G. (G) 24. Lee I. 40. van der Graaf L. 55. Letschert T. (C) 5. Claver C. 13. Hovenkamp T. 14. Klopper M. 20. Elstak M. 11. Fonseca R. 9. van der Linden F. 18. Bensabouh A.	1. Standaert M. (C) 4. Ketels L. 21. Martens G. 24. Siereveld G. 5. de Nooijer Y. 2. de Poorter R. 8. Brebels S. 10. Aelterman N. 14. Van Hauter R. 7. Hebbelinck K. 22. Demuynck D.
Substitutes
17. Aharchaoui R. 28. de Jager G. 30. Kroll B. (G) 3. Markiet G. 23. Nsingi J. 34. Oostwoud C.	23. Boere T. 11. Bostdorp M. 18. Bouihrouchane H. 19. Jalloh A. 3. Pengel J. 16. Steenpoorte M. 30. Van Damme S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Fonseca R. ⚽, Hovenkamp T. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Fonseca R. ⚽,
29', Aelterman N. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Martens G. ↓, Bouihrouchane H. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Demuynck D. ↓, Boere T. ↑,
46', Aelterman N. ↓, Bostdorp M. ↑,
55', Brebels S. ↓, Jalloh A. ↑,
62', Hovenkamp T. ↓, Oostwoud C. ↑,
66', Hebbelinck K. ↓, Steenpoorte M. ↑,
73', van der Linden F. ↓, de Jager G. ↑,
73', Elstak M. ↓, Markiet G. ↑,
80', Bensabouh A. ↓, Nsingi J. ↑,
89', Klopper M. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 13th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, AFC has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 1.5:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for AFC against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:5 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	AFC	11	4	1	6	15:19	-4	13
15	Hoek	11	2	4	5	12:18	-6	10

Last Results with these Odds

HSV Hoek - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 42.63%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amsterdamsche FC
Dutch Tweede Divisie
03.10.26	Spakenburg - Amsterdamsche FC	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Amsterdamsche FC - Katwijk	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
22.09.26	Groene Ster - Amsterdamsche FC	1:6 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
19.09.26	Koninklijke HFC - Amsterdamsche FC	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Amsterdamsche FC - HHC Hardenberg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWT
- HSV Hoek
Dutch Tweede Divisie
03.10.26	HSV Hoek - De Treffers	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - HSV Hoek	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	HSV Hoek - Jong Almere City	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	BVV Barendrecht - HSV Hoek	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	RKAV Volendam - HSV Hoek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
18.04.26	Amsterdamsche FC - HSV Hoek	1:5
15.11.25	HSV Hoek - Amsterdamsche FC	2:2

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